Polar Peoples: Past, Present, and Future

该奖项将支持一个项目，利用人口和地理分析工具，研究北极地区过去、现在和未来的人口趋势。该项目将描述北极人口规模和组成的时间和空间趋势，研究这些变化的原因，以及这些趋势对北极地区和国家的经济和社会的影响。三个不同的时间段将进行检查，每个使用不同的数据和方法，探索不同的问题。这三个时间段是：《过去》，审查了从1882-1883年第一个国际极地年到最近的2007-2008年国际极地年这段时期，当时对极地地区的勘探增加，北极土著人民与外界开始密切互动;“目前"是对北极目前人口趋势的分析，其依据是2010年人口普查数据和其他当前人口统计数据;《未来》是对北极未来人口趋势的研究，预测了一代人到2050年的时间。随着全球化、气候变化、技术进步以及世界其他地方正在发生的人口变化的驱动因素，北极地区的人口将在下一代经历巨大的转变。该项目将在学术期刊上发表文章，一本书，政策简报和一次会议，汇集了来自北极各地的研究人员，政府人口统计学家和政策制定者。该项目将使研究人员、社区成员和政策制定者能够方便地获得这些重要的分析和数据。通过使这些不同的北极利益相关者容易获得这些数据和分析，该项目确保未来的决策可以基于实际数据和分析，而不仅仅是感知的趋势。

This award will support a project to examine population trends across the Arctic in the past, the present, and into the future, using tools of demographic and geographic analysis. The project will describe temporal and spatial trends in the size and composition of the Arctic populations, examine the causes of these changes, and the implications of these trends for the economies and societies of the Arctic regions and countries. Three different time periods will be examined, each using different data and methods and exploring different question. The three time periods are: The Past, which examines the period from the first International Polar Year (IPY) in 1882-1883, the time of increased exploration of the Polar regions and start of intense interaction between the indigenous peoples of the Arctic and outsiders, to the most recent IPY of 2007-2008; The Present, which is an analysis of current population trends in the Arctic is based on data from 2010 round of population censuses and other current demographic statistics; and The Future, which is an examination of future population trends in the Arctic that projects out one generation to 2050. With globalization, climate change, technological advances, as well as drivers of demographic change, which are occurring elsewhere in the world, the populations of the Arctic regions are poised to undergo considerable transformation over the next generation. The project will result in articles in academic journals, a book, policy briefs and a conference which brings together researchers, government demographers, and policy makers from across the Arctic. This project will make these important analyses and data easily accessible to researchers, community members, and policy makers. By making these data and analyses easily accessible by these diverse Arctic stakeholders, the project ensures that future decision making can be based on actual data and analysis not just perceived trends.