Collaborative Research: RIPS Type 2: Resilience Simulation for Water, Power & Road Network

该项目将构建一个新的基于计算机的弹性基础设施模拟环境(RISE)，以允许个人、团体(包括学生)和专家在电力、水和道路网络这三个社会技术基础设施系统中测试基础设施网络设计配置和危机应对方法。研究人员将把社会和技术分析与人类主题研究联系起来，以发现有助于恢复能力的适应性行动、想法和决定。该项目由两个主要部分组成。在第一部分(建模)中，研究人员将确定构成亚利桑那州凤凰城和印第安纳波利斯的供水、道路和电力系统的网络的结构、动态(功能)和脆弱性。研究人员将结合来自亚洲、澳大利亚和欧洲的国际合作伙伴的网络模型，分析基于美国的网络模型，以学习和适应全球弹性原则。结果将与信念网络相结合，为崛起开发现实的决策模型。在第二部分(模拟)中，研究人员将构建RISE，以研究不同的专家、利益相关者、个人和群体在模拟决策情景中如何行动。通过观察，研究人员将确定导致弹性行动的问题解决和响应策略，从而了解感知、预期、适应和学习的组织和社会过程。综上所述，该项目将产生两个主要研究成果：1)可测量、可测试的弹性描述，融合了基础设施系统设计的社会、行为和工程元素；2)提高了学生、经理、利益相关者和其他参与研究的参与者的弹性。这一新知识将帮助政策制定者设计有效的战略，使美国的水、电和公路网更具弹性。

The project will construct a new computer-based Resilient Infrastructure Simulation Environment (RISE) to allow individuals, groups (including students), and experts to test infrastructure network design configurations and crisis response approaches in three socio-technical infrastructure systems: electric power, water, and roadway networks. Researchers will link social and technical analysis with human subject research to discover the adaptive actions, ideas, and decisions that contribute to resilience. The project comprises of two major parts. In Part I (Modeling), researchers will identify the structure, dynamics (functionalities), and vulnerabilities of the networks that make up water, roadway, and electric power systems in Phoenix, AZ and Indianapolis, IN. Researchers will analyze the resulting US-based network models in conjunction with those from international partners in Asia, Australia, and Europe to learn and adapt global resilience principles . The results will be combined with belief networks to develop realistic decision models for the RISE. In Part II (Simulation), researchers will construct the RISE to study how different experts, stakeholders, individuals, and groups act in simulated decision scenarios. Through observation, researchers will identify the problem-solving and response strategies that result in resilient action, and thus understandthe organizational and social processes of sensing, anticipating, adapting, and learning. Taken together, this project will result in two principal research outcomes: 1) a measureable, testable description of resilience that fuses social, behavioral, and engineered elements for infrastructure system design, and 2) improved resilience among the students, managers, stakeholders and other participants participating in the study. The new knowledge will help policymakers design effective strategies to make America's water, power, and road networks more resilient.