Doctoral Dissertation Research: New Political Parties, Societal Linkages and Developing Stable Ties with Voters

概述这个项目为选民如何成为党派分子提供了一个新的解释。PI考察了新政党的不同轨迹，并询问为什么一些政党能够扎根社会，迅速与选民建立稳定的关系，并随着时间的推移在选举中成功竞争，而另一些政党则未能做到这一点。之前的大多数研究都集中在政党对选民的直接吸引力上。这项研究还从不同类型的直接呼吁来解释成功，这些直接呼吁是围绕着社会裂痕组织起来的。政党和社会组织之间的稳定联系也可能使组织成员依附于该政党，并使他们社会化，使他们认同该党。PI认为，组织联系可以产生更稳定的选民与政党关系和支持基础。PI使用多方法策略来检验他的论点。这项研究有助于我们理解传统上被边缘化的群体是如何通过政党融入选举舞台的。技术总结本项目考察了新政党的不同轨迹，并询问为什么一些政党能够扎根社会，迅速与选民建立稳定的关系，并随着时间的推移在选举中成功竞争，而另一些政党则未能做到这一点。之前的大多数研究都集中在政党对选民的直接吸引力上。这项研究还从不同类型的直接呼吁来解释成功，这些直接呼吁是围绕着社会裂痕组织起来的。政党和社会组织之间的稳定联系也可能使组织成员依附于该政党，并使他们社会化，使他们认同该党。PI认为，组织联系可以产生更稳定的选民与政党关系和支持基础。PI使用多方法策略来测试他的论点，整合了关于政党支持的微观基础的联合实验，玻利维亚、厄瓜多尔和墨西哥新政党的比较案例研究，调查数据的统计分析，以及利用新数据集的生态推断。这一项目增进了我们对新政党的了解，并有助于努力促进对广大人口群体负责的持续代表性。

General SummaryThis project offers a new explanation of how voters become partisans. The PI examines the different trajectories of new parties and asks why some are able to take root in society, establish stable ties with voters quickly, and successfully compete in elections over time, while others fail to do so. Most prior research focuses on parties' direct appeals to voters. This research also explains success in terms of different types of direct appeals to groups that organize around social cleavages. Stable ties between a party and societal organizations may also attach organization members to that party and socialize them into identifying with it. The PI argues that organizational linkages can yield more stable voter-party ties and support bases. The PI test his argument using a multi-method strategy. This research contributes to our understanding of how traditionally marginalized groups are incorporated into the electoral arena through parties.Technical SummaryThis project examines the different trajectories of new parties and asks why some are able to take root in society, establish stable ties with voters quickly, and successfully compete in elections over time, while others fail to do so. Most prior research focuses on parties' direct appeals to voters. This research also explains success in terms of different types of direct appeals to groups that organize around social cleavages. Stable ties between a party and societal organizations may also attach organization members to that party and socialize them into identifying with it. The PI argues that organizational linkages can yield more stable voter-party ties and support bases. The PI test his argument using a multi-method strategy, integrating conjoint experiments on the microfoundations of party support, comparative case studies of new parties in Bolivia, Ecuador, and Mexico, statistical analysis of survey data; and ecological inference leveraging a new data set. This project advances our understanding of new parties and contributes to efforts to promote sustained representation that is accountable to broad population segments.