Uncertainty and Youth Well-being

这项研究扩展了对不确定性增加如何影响青年福祉的科学理解。在一个有些青年经历不确定性而另一些青年没有经历不确定性的社区中，有机会分析不确定性的变化是否、如何以及在多大程度上影响青年。这项研究的结果将为联邦、州和地方各级讨论如何提高面临不同程度不确定性的青年的福祉提供信息。本研究将使用2007-2016年（n= 238，000）通过加州健康访谈调查收集的多波加州全州范围内的代表性数据，随后的年份将在发布时添加。该项目将通过比较不确定和不确定的青年来估计不确定性的影响。它将纵向跟踪这两类青年。研究结果包括就业状况，教育入学率和成绩，以及身体和心理健康的各种措施。此外，该项目还将审查对更广泛社区的溢出效应。为了进一步分析调查结果，该项目将对来自加州社区的502名年轻人进行原始纵向调查和深入访谈研究。该项目将比较这些青年在2014年至2020年期间的主要成果，从而就早期事件对后期成果的影响进行因果推理。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

This study expands scientific understanding of how an increase in uncertainty affects youth well-being. In a community in which some youth experience uncertainty and others do not, there is an opportunity to analyze whether, how, and to what extent changes in uncertainty affect youth. The findings from this study will inform discussions at the federal, state, and local levels about ways to increase well-being among youth, who face varying levels of uncertainty. This study will use multiple waves of representative California statewide data collected via the California Health Interview Survey from 2007-2016 (n=238,000), with subsequent years added as they are released. The project will estimate the impact of uncertainty by comparing youth who are and are not subject to uncertainty. It will follow both groups of youth longitudinally. Study outcomes include employment status, educational enrollment and attainment, and various measures of physical and psychological well-being. In addition, the project will examine spillover effects to the broader community. To further analyze findings, the project will produce an original longitudinal survey and in-depth interview study of 502 young people from the community in California. The project will compare key outcomes of these youth over the period between 2014 and 2020, thus allowing causal inferences regarding the impact of earlier events on later outcomes.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.