Belmont Forum Collaborative Research: Health effects and associated socio-economic costs of increasing temperatures and wildfires - A global assessment

该奖项为参与一个由55个国家发起的全球变化研究计划通过贝尔蒙特论坛竞争性选定的项目的美国研究人员提供支持。贝尔蒙特论坛是一个研究资助组织联盟，专注于支持以跨学科方法应对全球环境变化的挑战和机遇。它的目的是通过协调和调动国际资源，加速开展最迫切需要的国际研究，以消除对可持续性的关键障碍。每个伙伴国都在一个联合体内为其研究人员提供资金，以减轻跨越国际边界的资金需求。这种方法有助于有效地利用国家资源，支持对具有全球相关性的主题的优秀研究，最好是通过多国方法来解决，认识到全球挑战需要全球解决方案。在这一合作研究行动中，伙伴机构提供支持，培养全球自然(包括气候)、健康和社会科学家以及来自全球的利益攸关方组成的全球跨学科研究团队，以提高对气候、环境和健康途径的理解，以保护和促进健康。这些项目将对气候变化和变异性对以下方面的健康影响提供至关重要的新理解：1)食物的质量/数量；2)长期暴露在高温和湿度的增加/变化中；3)一系列传染病的分布和发病率的变化以及新病原体的出现。该奖项支持美国研究人员在由至少三个参与国的合作伙伴组成的财团中开展合作，以增加我们对气候、环境和健康之间复杂联系和途径的了解，以帮助解决社会面临的复杂挑战。该项目将侧重于气温升高和野火对健康的影响和相关的社会经济成本，以量化在另一种气候和社会经济情景下，由于极端高温和空气污染而导致的心肺死亡率和发病率以及相关经济成本的变化。该项目将编制与空气污染数据有关的全球热指数预测，包括野火数据、不同情景下心肺疾病负担预测，以及与极端高温和高污染共存事件相关的社会经济成本数据。该项目汇集了一个在气候建模、流行病学、经济学和健康影响评估方面具有专业知识的国际研究财团。由学者、非政府组织和私营部门的研究人员组成的团队将共同努力，评估高温、空气污染和人类健康之间的联系，并量化相关的健康负担。该项目将使广泛的地方和国家级利益攸关方受益，包括当地社区、政府、卫生服务机构以及地方和国家决策者。主要影响将是提高评估健康影响的能力；对气候变化的凝聚力；为重大国际科学评估提供信息的数据；减轻疾病的经济负担和改善公众健康和安全的战略。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

This award provides support to U.S. researchers participating in a project competitively selected by a 55-country initiative on global change research through the Belmont Forum. The Belmont Forum is a consortium of research funding organizations focused on support for transdisciplinary approaches to global environmental change challenges and opportunities. It aims to accelerate delivery of the international research most urgently needed to remove critical barriers to sustainability by aligning and mobilizing international resources. Each partner country provides funding for their researchers within a consortium to alleviate the need for funds to cross international borders. This approach facilitates effective leveraging of national resources to support excellent research on topics of global relevance best tackled through a multinational approach, recognizing that global challenges need global solutions.Working together in this Collaborative Research Action, the partner agencies have provided support to foster global transdisciplinary research teams of natural (including climate), health and social scientists and stakeholders from across the globe to improve understanding of climate, environment and health pathways to protect and promote health. The projects will provide crucial new understanding into the health implications arising from the impacts of climate change and variability on; 1) the quality/quantity of food, 2) chronic exposure to increases/changes in heat and humidity and 3) changes in the distribution and incidence of a range of infectious diseases and emergence of novel pathogens. This award provides support for the U.S. researchers to cooperate in consortia that consist of partners from at least three of the participating countries to increase our knowledge of the complex linkages and pathways between the climate, environment and health to help solve complex challenges that face societies. The project will focus on the health effects and associated socio-economic costs of increasing temperatures and wildfires to quantify the changes in cardiopulmonary mortality and morbidity and associated economic costs due to extreme heat and air pollution under alternative climate and socioeconomic scenarios. The project will produce a global heat index projection related to air pollution data including that of wildfires, projection of cardiopulmonary diseases burden under different scenarios, and data on socio-economic costs associated to co-occurring events of extreme heat and high pollution. The project brings together an international research consortium with expertise in climate modelling, epidemiology, economics and health impact assessments. The team of academics, non-governmental and private sector researchers will work together to assess the link between heat, air pollution and human health and quantify the associated health burden. The project will benefit a broad range of local and national-level stakeholders, including local communities, government, health service agencies, and local and national decision-makers. The major impacts will be improved capability in assessing health impacts; cohesive resilience towards climate change; data to inform major international scientific assessments; strategies to ease economic burden of diseases and improve public health and safety.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.