The 2024 American National Election Studies (ANES)

2024年美国全国选举研究（ANES）将在美国政治充满不确定性和变化的时刻进行。公众在涉及行政权力、选举合法性、法治和社会规范（如公共卫生关切与个人自由的适当平衡）的长期政治规范方面存在分歧。自1948年以来，ANES一直是衡量美国民意和理解投票行为的黄金标准。2024 ANES保持了无党派的传统，科学有效的调查，同时增加了尖端的创新。ANES调查中的新问题和现有问题使研究人员能够了解政治不满的根源，解释民选官员与公众之间的误解，并确定弥合国家政治和社会分歧的机会。2024 ANES延续了ANES管理选举前和选举后访谈的传统，产生了几个新的数据产品，包括ANES时间序列中的第一个八年面板，涵盖2016年，2020年和2024年的选举周期。该数据集使研究人员能够在极端动荡时期的民意动态、错误信息的传播、对政治暴力的支持、情感两极分化、种族冲突以及对我们选举机构合法性的威胁等主题上取得新的突破。2024年的研究还提供了一个跨越2020年、2022年和2024年的社交媒体研究小组，通过合并受访者对行为数据的态度，提供有关社交媒体上新闻使用和政治广告对选举后果的数据。与综合社会调查和选举制度比较研究的持续合作产生了社会学、经济学、政治传播、比较政治学和国际关系学者感兴趣的新数据集。方法上的创新包括无响应跟踪研究、探索民主关键威胁的新仪器、视频访谈，以及使用混合模式设计来进一步了解调查模式的影响。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

The 2024 American National Election Study (ANES) will occur at a moment of great uncertainty and change in American politics. The public is divided over long-standing political norms involving executive power, electoral legitimacy, the rule of law, and societal norms such as the proper balance of public health concerns with individual freedoms. Since 1948, the ANES has been the gold standard for measuring public opinion and understanding voting behavior in the United States. The 2024 ANES maintains the tradition of a nonpartisan, scientifically valid survey while adding cutting-edge innovations. New and existing questions on the ANES survey allow researchers to understand the sources of political discontent, explain misunderstandings between elected officials the public, and identify opportunities for bridging the country's political and social divisions.The 2024 ANES continues the ANES tradition of administering both pre- and post-election interviews, producing several new data products including the first-ever eight-year panel in the ANES time series, spanning the 2016, 2020, and 2024 election cycles. This data set allows researchers to break fresh ground on topics including opinion dynamics during a period of extreme volatility, the spread of misinformation, support for political violence, affective polarization, racial conflict, and threats to the legitimacy of our electoral institutions. The 2024 study also delivers a Social Media Study panel spanning 2020, 2022, and 2024, providing data on the electoral consequences of news use and political advertising on social media by merging respondent attitudes to behavioral data. Ongoing collaborations with General Social Survey and the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems yield new datasets of interest to scholars in sociology, economics, political communication, comparative politics, and international relations. Methodological innovations include a non-response follow-up study, new instrumentation probing critical threats to democracy, video interviewing, and the use of a mixed-mode design to yield further insights about survey mode effects.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.