Planning: FIRE-PLAN: Assessing Managed Retreat as an Adaptive Response to Wildfire Risk

近年来，大量建筑物被野火摧毁，人们流离失所，个人、政府和私营部门付出了高昂的经济代价。随着这种现象变得越来越频繁，一些研究人员和政策制定者建议将人员和基础设施从高风险地区转移出去，这是一种被称为管理撤退的策略。现有的对退缩的理解主要是基于对洪水和海平面上升的研究。很少有人研究撤退是否是对野火的有效或公平的反应。该奖项支持一项研究项目，该项目将野火研究人员、基于洪水的管理撤退学者、社区成员和实践者聚集在一起，共同制定一项研究议程，重点关注野火撤退的成本、收益和可行性。管理撤退，即将人员和基础设施迁移到远离环境危害的地方，被认为是应对野火风险的适应性解决方案。这项规划拨款建立了一个由学者、实践者和社区成员组成的工作组，他们具有研究不同形式的野火管理撤退的专业知识。该小组通过组织委员会会议和为期两天的研讨会召开会议。研讨会围绕三个命题进行组织：1)暴露于野火的社区具有独特的流动性愿望、能力和撤退观念；2)由于长期的土地管理要求，传统的管理撤退方法，如房屋收购，在野火环境下效果较差；3)野火管理撤退需要制定新的政策和规划工具。一份发表的会议报告确定了知识差距和未来的研究重点。这一系列分析构成了未来大型项目的基础，以促进对气候迁移规划的理解，并为野火政策议程提供信息。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

Recent years have seen large numbers of buildings destroyed by wildfires, displacement of people from their homes, and high financial costs to individuals, governments, and the private sector. As the phenomena become more frequent, some researchers and policymakers have suggested relocating people and infrastructure away from high-risk areas, a strategy known as managed retreat. The existing understanding of retreat is based mainly on studies of flooding and sea-level rise. Few examine whether retreat is an effective or equitable response to wildfire. This award supports a research project to bring together wildfire researchers, scholars of flood-based managed retreat, community members, and practitioners to co-develop a research agenda focused on the costs, benefits, and feasibility of retreat with respect to wildfire. Managed retreat, the relocation of people and infrastructure away from environmental hazards, has been suggested as an adaptive solution to wildfire risk. This planning grant establishes a working group of scholars, practitioners, and community members with the expertise to study different forms of wildfire managed retreat. The group convenes through Organizing Committee meetings and a two-day workshop. The workshop is organized around three propositions: 1) wildfire-exposed communities possess distinct mobility aspirations, capabilities, and perceptions of retreat; 2) conventional approaches to managed retreat, such as home buyouts, are less effective in a wildfire context due to long-term land management requirements; and 3) wildfire managed retreat requires the development of new policy and planning tools. A published proceedings report identifies knowledge gaps and future research priorities. This line of analysis forms the basis for future large-scale projects to advance the understanding of climate relocation planning and inform wildfire policy agendas.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.