Disperse or die: the evolution of dispersal ability in a changing climate.

气候变化是否会影响一个物种取决于生态群落追踪气候变化的能力。那些为应对气候变化而迅速改变活动范围的物种不会受到过度影响，而那些被困在一个地方的物种则面临着气候变化的极端风险（它们要么适应，要么灭亡）。因此，我们需要对物种如何以及多快地转移它们的范围有一个坚定的理解。这个项目将建立一个通用的框架，在这个框架内模拟物种对气候变化的反应。因此，该项目将大大有助于我们如何规划和管理气候变化的影响。

Whether or not climate change will affect a species depends upon the ability of ecological communities to track climate change. Species that rapidly shift their range in response to climate change will not be unduly affected, whereas species that are stuck in one place are at extreme risk from a changing climate (they must either adapt, or perish). We need, therefore, a firm understanding of how, and how rapidly, species shift their range. This project will develop a universal framework within which to model species' responses to climate change. As such, the project will contribute greatly to how we plan for, and manage, the effects of climate change.