Exit Strategy of UN Peacekeeping Operations and the Effects on Sustainable Peace

虽然现有研究忽视了对冲突管理努力之间相互依存关系的考虑，但需要了解多个特派团，以促进对和平行动的全面了解。为了考察联合国维和行动的撤离战略，今年的研究首先调查了为什么联合国维和行动(UN PKO)被联合国政治特派团(UN PM)取代。在理论论证的基础上，本文使用1993至2016年间联合国维和人员和联合国项目管理人员在内战后国家部署的数据来检验假设。本文对替代物在何种条件下可能与东道国的需求相容，以及联合国在尽量减少联合国维和行动供应方内部政治冲突的情况下为公共产品提供服务的作用提供了启示。

While consideration of interdependencies among conflict management efforts have been overlooked in the extant research, understanding multiple missions is required to promote a holistic understanding of peace operations. To examine the exit strategy of UN PKO, first, this year’s research investigated why UN Peacekeeping Operations (UN PKOs) are replaced by UN Political Missions (UN PMs). Based on the theoretical arguments, the paper tested hypotheses using data on the deployment of UN PKOs and UN PMs in post-civil war countries between 1993 and 2016. The paper provides implications about conditions under which the replacement may be compatible with demand of host state as well as the role of UN to serve public goods while minimizing political conflicts within the supply side of UN PKO.