Network modelling nationally important emerging infectious diseases

该项目旨在基于基因测序和预测建模方面的最新进展，为新出现的传染病暴发开发决策支持工具。传染病的传播取决于传染和易感动物的接近性和属性、宿主-病原体关系的演变和环境影响。这些方面最近的变化导致了一系列重大疫情，对动物健康、生产力和贸易产生了影响。需要新的决策支持工具，以便在大规模暴发的早期将基因序列与流行病学数据结合起来。该项目的预期结果是，开发的模型可使适当和及时的干预成为可能，并减少对未来疫情的影响。

The project aims to develop decision-support tools for emerging infectious disease outbreaks that build on recent advances in gene sequencing and predictive modelling. Infectious disease transmission depends on the proximity and attributes of infectious and susceptible animals, evolution of the host-pathogen relationship and environmental influences. Recent changes in these have led to a series of major outbreaks with impacts on animal health, productivity and trade. New decision-support tools are required to combine genetic sequences with epidemiological data early in large outbreaks. The intended outcome of the project is that the models developed may enable appropriate and timely intervention and reduce impacts in future outbreaks.