Worker Flows and Labour Market Policy in Australia

我们建议对澳大利亚劳动力市场的流动进行详细分析。将分析1980年至2003年期间四个劳动力市场州（全职就业、兼职就业、失业和非劳动力）之间男性和女性流动的月度数据。该项目将扩展流动理论，并将使用最新的时间序列计量经济学分析与劳动力市场行为理论相结合来建立流动模型。其目的是更好地了解趋势、周期性、季节性和政策对劳动力市场流动的影响，并揭示已经发生的任何结构性变化。这将更详细地说明澳大利亚失业的根本原因，特别是男性和女性对劳动力市场政策和经济状况变化的反应方式和速度。

We propose to undertake a detailed analysis of flows in the Australian labour market. Monthly data on flows of males and females between four labour market states (employed full-time, employed part-time, unemployed and not in the labour force) over the period 1980 to 2003 will be analysed. The project will extend the theory of flows and it will use up-to-date time series econometric analysis coupled with theories of labour market behaviour to build models of the flows. The aim is to better understand trend, cyclical, seasonal and policy influences on labour market flows and to reveal any structural changes which have occurred. This will provide more detail on the underlying causes of unemployment in Australia and especially the manner and the speed of response of males and females to changes in labour market policy and in economic conditions.