Modelling dynamics in spatial ecology

这个项目探讨了出生、死亡和运动如何在空间和时间上驱动植物和动物的模式。我们的目标是应用和扩展基于理论的动态统计模型。我们需要动力学模型来了解物种和生态群落如何响应环境变化和干扰，包括森林大火、气候变化、极端事件和物种入侵。利用来自森林地块和动物运动的数据，我们的目标是了解对个体和物种的影响，以及如何利用这些影响来产生可靠的预测。该项目预计将产生供生态学家使用的统计模型和软件。这应该有助于预测和管理环境变化和干扰的生态影响。

This project addresses how birth, death and movement drive patterns of plants and animals in space and time. We aim to apply and extend dynamical statistical models grounded in theory. Dynamical models are needed for us to understand how species and ecological communities respond to environmental change and disturbance including bushfires, climate change and extremes and species invasion. Using data from forest plots and animal movement, we aim to understand influences on individuals and species, and how to use that to generate robust predictions. The project is expected to produce statistical models and software for use by ecologists. This should help predict, and manage, ecological impacts of environmental change and disturbances.