AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area) and Vietnam

本研究的主要目的是考察东盟经济合作近年来的显著发展，并从中吸取对其他发展中国家经济合作的重要经验教训。东盟经济合作是东盟经济合作的成功范例，我们可以把东盟经济合作的近期发展概括为“包围”和“深化”。这意味着东盟6国的成员国增加，（布鲁内尔、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡和泰国）对“ASBAN 10”即柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸和越南四个印度支那国家表示欢迎，“深化”意味着引入一些新的经济合作计划，如AFTA（1992）、AICO（东盟工业合作，1996年），AIA（东盟投资区，1998年）等。我最初试图把重点放在埃塔之间的关系（东盟自由贸易区）和越南代表了上述东盟经济合作的“扩大”和“深化”。然而，由于1997年亚洲金融危机的爆发，严重影响了东盟经济合作，我不得不对原来的研究计划作了一些修改。因此，我完成了我的研究报告，其中有以下两个章节：第一章是关于亚洲货币危机的原因，后果和政策含义。在本章中，我强调了东盟六国和越南所采取的所谓“出口导向型工业化”政策作为其发展模式有其局限性。1998年12月在越南河内举行的第六届东盟首脑会议提出了科普亚洲金融危机的新对策（“大胆计划”）。第二章分析了东盟经济合作的前景。

The main purpose of this research project was to investIgate recent remarkable development of the ASEAN economic co-operation and to draw some important lessons from it for other economic co-operation among developing countries because ASEAN has a very good reputation as a successful example of it. We may characterize the recent ASEAN economic co-operation as "Enlargement" and "Deepening" "Enlargement" means the increase of member countries from ASEAN6 (Brunel, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand) to "ASBAN 10" that is, the four Indochina countries of Cambodia, Laos, Myanrnar and Vietnam are welcomed to joint it, and "Deepening" means to introduce some new economic co-operation schemes like AFTA(1992), AICO(ASEAN Industrial Co-operation, 1996), AIA(ASEAN Investment Area, 1998) and so on. I originally tried to focus on the relation between AETA(ASEAN Free Trade Area) and Vietnam that represented the above-mentioned "Enlargement" and "Deepening" of the ASEAN economic co-operation. I am, however, obliged to change my original research plan a bit because the Asian currency crisis broke out in 1997 and it has seriously affected the ASEAN economic co-operation. So, I have completed my research report that has the two following chapters ; The first chapter deals with causes, consequences and policy implications ot the Asian currency crisis. In this chapter, I emphasize the so-called "EOI(Export-Oriented Industrialization" policy that the ASEAN6 and Vietnam have adopted as their development model has its own limitations. The Sixth ASEAN Summit at Hanoi, Vietnam in December 1998 presented the new counter-plan (the "Bold Plans") to cope with the Asian currency crisis, In the second chapter, I analyze the "Bold Plans" that show the future prospects of the ASEAN economic co-operation.