Care Needs, Costs and the Capacity for Self-Provision: Detailed Regional Projections for Older Australians to 2020

政府正开始应对与人口老龄化相关的政策挑战，以及婴儿潮一代日益老龄化的未来需求。目前，澳大利亚没有足够的战略规划和决策支持工具来预测澳大利亚老年人未来对护理服务的需求、这类服务的可能成本以及澳大利亚老年人承担这些成本的财政能力。因此，该项目旨在开发一个空间微观模拟模型，为到2020年的澳大利亚老年人提供详细的区域预测，以帮助提供信息并协助对这些日益紧迫的社会问题作出可能的反应。

Government is starting to address the policy challenges associated with population ageing and the future needs of the ageing baby boomers. At the moment, Australia does not have adequate strategic planning and decision-support tools for forecasting the future demand for care services by older Australians; the likely cost of such services; and the financial capacity of older Australians to bear a greater share of these costs. This project therefore aims to develop a spatial microsimulation model to provide detailed regional projections for older Australians up to the year 2020 to help inform and assist with possible responses to these increasingly pressing social issues.