Estimation system for the space-time distribution of the holiday trips

本文重点研究了由于路网和燃油价格的变化而引起的假日交通流量的变化。在、中，我们重点研究了路网和燃油价格变化对假日交通的影响。首先，、我们定量地考虑了游憩的选择目的地率。因此，、的休闲选择目的地比率显示，休闲交通流量发生了变化，而与旅游世代无关。此外，本文还讨论了燃油价格对交通量的影响。、在本研究中也讨论了、。利用日本、的时间序列数据建立了机动车交通需求与燃油价格关系的模型，分析了影响因素及短期和长期影响。

In this paper、 we focused on the change of holiday traffic cause by the changing the road network and fuel price. First、 we considered quantitatively the selection destination rate for recreation. As a result、 the selection destination rate for recreation showed a change in leisure traffic regardless of trip generation. Also、 in this study、 effects of fuel price on traffic volume were discussed. A model was established using time-series data for relationship between vehicle traffic demand and fuel price in Japan、 to analyze factors influencing and short-and long-term effects.