Risk assessment of macroeconomic shocks

在这项研究中，我们通过使用宏观经济模型进行模拟，调查了经济和区域一体化的影响。我们首先开发了一个世界贸易可计算一般均衡模型，以量化农业贸易自由化对水稻等主要作物生产力冲击的影响。我们还使用考虑发电和输电能力的空间部分均衡模型量化了日本区域电力市场供应冲击的影响。

In this study, we investigated the impact of economic and regional integration by using macroeconomic models for simulation purposes. We first developed a world trade computable general equilibrium model to quantify the impact of agricultural tradeliberalization subject to productivity shocks of major crops such as rice. We also quantified the impact of supply shocks in Japan’s regional power markets using a spatial partial equilibrium model considering generation and transmission capacity.