Resilient design flood estimation for Australia

据预测，未来20年，澳大利亚自然灾害的总成本将增加一倍以上--洪水是面临的最昂贵的自然灾害之一。洪灾的损失和代价是可以控制的，但对降雨和洪灾预测的了解迅速发展，导致国家洪灾指导方针与当前科学不符。该项目提出了一种新颖但实用的设计洪水估计技术，将适应未来预期的洪水行为的关键变化。这将包括考虑极端降雨强度、集水区湿度和风暴行为模式的变化。

The total costs of natural disasters in Australia are forecast to more than double in the next 20 years - with floods one of the costliest natural disasters faced. The damage and cost of floods can be managed, but rapid developments in the understanding of rainfall and flood projections has resulted in national flood guidelines that are not consistent with current science. This project proposes a novel but practical technique for design flood estimation that will accommodate the key changes to flood behaviour that are expected in the future. This will include consideration of changes in extreme rainfall intensities, catchment wetness, and patterns of storm behaviour.