Quantifying emergence and dynamics of foodborne epidemics in Australia

该项目旨在大大提高预测澳大利亚食源性疾病出现和演变的计算流行病学模型的准确性和范围。它有望揭示微生物生物进化的关键途径，以及它们通过食品供应链和人类相互作用的传播。预期的成果包括发现最主要的食源性感染菌株如何在复杂的网络中出现和自我组织，如何预测和控制更接近其源头的流行病，以及哪些是最脆弱的群体和社区。这将产生重大的经济和社会影响，改善人民的健康，同时保护国家和国际供应链。

The project aims to greatly improve the accuracy and scope of computational epidemiological models predicting emergence and evolution of foodborne diseases in Australia. It expects to reveal key pathways for both biological evolution of microorganisms, and their spread though food supply chains and human interactions. The intended outcomes include discovering how the most dominant strains of foodborne infection emerge and self-organise in complex networks, how to predict and contain the epidemics closer to their source, and which are the most vulnerable groups and communities. This should make a significant economic and social impact, improving health of the population, while also safeguarding national and international supply chains.