MultiLateral Thinking - Coriolis Technologies

**愿景**-新冠肺炎将改变贸易的性质，并影响英国的经济表现、贸易战略/政策和全球地位。世贸组织预测，由于新冠肺炎的影响，全球贸易将下降30%。新冠肺炎对政策制定者提出了独特的要求，要求他们根据稀少的证据迅速制定战略。政策选择需要独立的、高度准确的实时数据来证明。然而，政策制定者(经济数据/模型)可用的工具/技术没有利用实时数据，因此无法支持及时的基于证据的决策。**理念与目标**-多边思维将独特地结合复杂的经过验证的贸易模型、实时数据和世界一流的政策知识，以确定“新冠肺炎”对贸易的实际影响，并允许情景运行。除了新冠肺炎，该平台还将在地缘政治变化(包括英国退欧、国际关系变化、世贸组织改革)期间为英国和国际政策制定者提供支持。这一机会可以通过结合数据和最先进的分析来抓住。多边思维项目将进行产业研究，以开发和示范这项创新技术。

**Vision** - COVID-19 will change the nature of trade and impact the UK's economic performance, trade strategy/policy and global position. WTO forecasts global trade will fall 30% due to COVID-19\. COVID-19 places unique demands on policymakers to quickly formulate strategies based on sparse evidence. Policy choices need justification by independent and highly-accurate, real-time, data. However, tools/technology available to policymakers' (economic data/models) do not utilise real-time data and therefore cannot support timely evidence-based decision-making.**Idea & Objective** - MultiLateral Thinking will uniquely combine complex validated trade models, real-time data and world class policy knowledge to determine the actual impact on trade of COVID-19 and allow scenarios to be run. Beyond COVID-19, the platform will support UK and international policymakers during geopolitical change (including Brexit, changing international relationships, WTO reform).This opportunity could be addressed by combining data and state-of-art analytics. The MultiLateral Thinking project will conduct industrial research to develop and demonstrate this innovative technology.