Decadal climate variability: Mechanisms, interactions and effects

该项目旨在通过日益复杂的模式，以观测为基础，研究十年气候变率的基本过程。澳大利亚的气候变化在几年、几十年和更长的时间尺度上都有影响，可能对农业、供水、森林火灾和健康造成破坏性影响。迫切需要改进十年时间尺度上的气候预测，但对系统自然变率的了解有限阻碍了进展。这一知识将减少近期气候预测的不确定性，从而能够就区域范围的适应作出更知情的决策，特别是在农业、卫生、水和生态系统管理（包括森林火灾控制）等部门。

This project aims to study the processes underlying decadal climate variability, through increasingly complex models, underpinned by observations. Climate variations on time scales of years, decades and longer affect Australia, with potentially devastating effects on agriculture, water supply, bushfires and health. Improved climate prediction on decadal time scales is urgently needed, but limited understanding of the system’s natural variability hampers progress. This knowledge will reduce uncertainty in near term climate projections, allowing more informed decision making about adaptation on the regional scale, particularly for sectors such as agriculture, health, water and ecosystem management (including bushfire control).