Sub-National Context and Radical Right Support in Europe

对激进右翼的选举支持，包括法国FN，德国AfD，荷兰PVV和英国UKIP等政党，长期以来一直对许多欧洲国家的主流政治构成挑战。以前的研究表明，支持这些政党的主要动机历来是反移民情绪，最近则是反穆斯林态度。这些因素在地方和国家范围内对人们的投票决定很重要。对激进右翼政党的比较研究主要侧重于国家一级的指标和个人动机，以解释对这些政党的支持的变化。一些研究使用当地数据来研究一个国家不同地区的支持情况如何变化，但迄今为止，还没有比较研究来正式确定地方条件和背景对激进右翼支持的影响。该项目汇集了一个跨学科的政治学、社会学和地理学小组，对四个关键国家（法国、德国、荷兰和联合王国）进行这种分析，这些国家提供了不同的体制、基础设施、社会经济和意识形态背景，可供研究这一现象。这个为期三年的项目将有三个主要目标。首先，它将整理所有来自官方来源的二手政治和社会经济数据，以建立不同区域和地方各级的跨时间数据库。第二，政府会在四个国家进行标准化的民意调查，以收集最新的个人人口、态度和行为资料，作为对这些数据的补充。最后，它将把这些放在一个完整的支持激进权利的模型中，以确定领土背景和个人因素的各自作用。结果将提供一个无与伦比的详细了解的决定因素，激进的权利支持，这将是重要的，无论是我们的学术理解和利益攸关方的政策规划和执行，以解决与支持这些政党相关的问题。

Electoral support for the radical right, including parties such as the French FN, the German AfD, the Dutch PVV and UKIP in Britain, has long presented a challenge to mainstream politics in many European nations. Previous research has shown that the principal motivation for supporting such parties has historically been anti-immigrant sentiments, and more recently anti-Muslim attitudes. Such factors become important in people's voting decision through local and national context. Comparative research into radical right parties has focused mainly on national-level indicators and individual motivations when explaining variation in support for these parties. Some research uses local data to look at how support varies in different parts of a country, but to date there is an absence of comparative research which formalises the effect of subnational conditions and context on radical right support. This project brings together an interdisciplinary political science, sociology and geography team to build such an analysis for four key countries (France, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK) which provide different institutional, infrastructural, socio-economic and ideological contexts in which to study the phenomenon. The three-year project will have three main objectives. First, it will collate all available secondary political and socio-economic data from official sources to establish an across-time database at different regional and local levels. Second, it will supplement these data with a standardised public opinion survey across the four countries, to collect an up-to-date set of individual demographic, attitude and behavioural information. Lastly, it will bring these together in a full model of radical right support, to identify the respective role of territorial context and individual factors. The results will provide an unparalleled level of detailed understanding of the determinants of radical right support, which will be of importance both to our academic understanding and to stakeholders' policy planning and implementation in addressing the issues associated with support for these parties.