Ethnic minority voters in 2019: Brexitland, or business as usual?

英国几乎十分之一的选民来自少数民族背景。然而，现有的关于政治变化的描述对少数民族的政治选择关注不足，而对英国脱欧对随后的投票选择的影响的学术和政治理解迄今都是不完整和不完整的。造成这种情况的主要原因是，对少数民族进行有代表性的定量研究超出了ESRC通常的标准赠款资金限额。我们建议对“理解社会”的90位少数族裔受访者进行半结构化访谈，以探讨欧盟公投和随后的国家政治变化对少数族裔政治选择的不同影响。然后，我们将从访谈中获得的“厚”数据与理解社会（Understanding Society）关于少数民族在英国脱欧公投以及2017年和2019年选举中的投票选择的代表性“薄”定量数据进行三角测量。我们将与ESRC投资项目“了解社会”联合研究合作。将受访者嵌入到家庭小组研究中是理想的——该小组包含了大量关于受访者自2010年以来的政治选择的信息，使我们能够有目的地根据他们的政治立场对潜在受访者进行抽样（例如，为了实现留欧派和脱欧派支持者人数相等），同时还可以用他们的家庭和个人历史的其他信息补充定性数据。根据“了解社会”的要求，我们将保存面试的成绩单以供二次分析。

Almost one in ten voters in Britain comes from an ethnic minority background. However, existing accounts of political change pay insufficient attention to the political choices of ethnic minorities, and both academic and political understanding of the effects of Brexit on subsequent vote choice is so far patchy and incomplete. The principal reason for this is that conducting a representative quantitative study of ethnic minorities exceeds the usual ESRC standard grant funding limits. We propose to conduct 90 semi-structured interviews with ethnic minority respondents of Understanding Society to explore the varying effects of the EU referendum, and subsequent national political changes on the political choices of ethnic minorities. We will then triangulate this 'thick' data from interviews, with representative 'thin' quantitative data from the Understanding Society on the vote choices of ethnic minorities in the Brexit referendum, and elections in 2017 and 2019. We will collaborate with the ESRC investment project Understanding Society as an Associated Study. Using respondents embedded in the household panel study is ideal - the panel contains a great deal of information on respondents' political choices back to 2010, allowing us to purposively sample potential interviewees according to their politics (e.g. to achieve equal numbers of Remain and Leave supporters), and also to supplement the qualitative data with other information about their household and personal history. In accordance with Understanding Society requirements we will deposit the transcriptions from interviews for secondary analysis.