Examining Risks of Coastal Flooding to Port Systems

沿海洪水是英国面临的最严重的环境风险之一。尽管对沿海洪水的一般风险进行了大量研究，但关于洪水如何影响支撑英国经济的河口港口系统的知识更为有限。拟议的研究旨在检查沿海洪水对港口系统及其在整个英国维持的供应链的风险。作为一项短期的探索性研究，本研究考虑了两个主要的港口（多佛和明汉）面临洪水风险。考虑的供应链是食品进口系统，这显然对英国至关重要。该项目有以下目标：-预测潜在沿海洪水的时间演变-将洪水风险转化为港口基础设施系统的风险-将洪水风险转化为进口物流系统的风险-洪水预报员与基础设施用户/所有者之间的工程风险沟通。该项目的核心利益相关者是运输部（DfT）的海上弹性规划和后果管理团队；英国中央政府)，明汉和多佛港口以及约翰·多拉咨询公司。铁路网和粮食储存和分配联合会已同意对我们的产出发表评论，并派官员到我们的讲习班。这些项目的成果将有助于它们制定政策以及制定紧急程序和业务延续计划。特别是，研究结果将用于英国政府关于英国海事、食品和能源应对潮汐的跨部门倡议。

Coastal flooding is one of the most serious environmental risks to the UK. Despite much research on general risks of coastal flooding, knowledge about how flooding affects the estuary port systems that sustain much of the UK economy is more limited. The proposed research aims to examine risks of coastal flooding to port systems and the supply chains that they sustain throughout the UK. As an exploratory study in a short term, the research considers two major ports (Dover and Immingham) that are subject to flooding risks. The supply chains considered are food import systems that are clearly of critical importance to the UK. The project has the following objectives:-Predicting time evolution of potential coastal flooding -Translating risks of flooding to risks in port infrastructure systems-Translating risks of flooding to risks in import logistics systems-Engineering risk communication between flood forecasters and infrastructure users/owners The core stakeholders of this project are the Maritime Resilience Planning and Consequence Management Team of the Department for Transport (DfT; UK central government), the ports of Immingham and Dover and John Dora Consulting. Network Rail and the Food Storage and Distribution Federation have agreed to make comments on our outputs and send officers to our workshops. The results of the projects will help their policy formation as well as development of Emergency Procedures and Business Continuation Plans. In particular, the results will be used in the UK government's cross-departmental initiative on UK maritime, food and energy resilience to a tidal surge.