ETHNIC DIFFERENTIALS IN MORTALITY IN KYRGYZSTAN

描述(改编自申请人的描述)：本报告的目的 该项目是按种族群体检查前苏联共和国的死亡率 1959年至1999年期间，吉尔吉斯斯坦政府对其进行了审查。关于种族问题有很大的不确定性- 这一人群的特定死亡水平和趋势 由于缺乏可用的数据，这些问题以前没有得到解决。申请人 打算通过使用新的- 来自国家统计局的现有人口普查和生命登记数据 吉尔吉斯共和国委员会(NatsStatKom)和适用人口学 非常适合这些数据的估计程序。 使用各种人口统计技术，人口普查的质量和至关重要 将对登记数据进行评估，并改善对死亡率的估计 将产生种族群体。这些方法包括检查间比较 队列大小；基于报告的死亡年龄分布和 特定年龄的增长率；以及直接制作生命表的程序 从人口的年龄分布和特定年龄的增长率来看。 这项研究的一个特别重点是按种族分列的婴儿和儿童死亡率。 一群人。使用自1959年以来每月报告的两岁以下死亡概率 和关于妇女生育数量的个人人口普查报告和 1989年和1999年的儿童死亡人数，改进后的婴儿独立估计数 将编制1959-1999年期间按族裔分列的儿童死亡率。 这些估计将允许对报告的质量进行评估。 趋势，并使实质性分析的差异影响 后苏联过渡时期各地区儿童死亡状况 种族群体。 不同民族的行为和生物医学危险因素分布 然后将使用1993吉尔吉斯斯坦多用途贫困指数对群体进行估计 调查(KMPS)，以及这些风险因素分布可能在多大程度上 说明了总水平上的相应死亡率差异 将会被评估。

DESCRIPTION (Adapted from applicant's description): The purpose of this project is to examine mortality by ethnic group in the former Soviet Republic of Kyrgyzstan from 1959 to 1999. There are major uncertainties about ethnic- specific mortality levels and trends for this population that were unable to be addressed previously due to the lack of available data. The applicant intends to narrow substantially the range of uncertainty by using newly- available census and vital registration data from the National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic (NatsStatKom) and by applying demographic estimation procedures that are well-suited to these data. Using a variety of demographic techniques, the quality of census and vital registration data will be assessed, and improved estimates of mortality by ethnic group will be produced. These methods include intercensal comparison of cohort size; a procedure based on the reported age distribution of deaths and age-specific growth rates; and a procedure for producing life tables directly from the age distribution of the population and age-specific growth rates. A particular focus of this research is infant and child mortality by ethnic group. Using reported monthly probabilities of dying below age two since 1959 and individual census reports of women regarding their number of births and child deaths in 1989 and 1999, improved and independent estimates of infant and child mortality by ethnicity will be produced for the period 1959-1999. These estimates will permit an assessment of the quality of the reported trends and allow a substantive analysis of the differential effect of the post-Soviet transition period on the child mortality conditions of the various ethnic groups. Behavioral and biomedical risk factor distributions among the various ethnic groups will then be estimated using the 1993 Kyrgyzstan Multipurpose Poverty Survey (KMPS), and the extent to which these risk factor distributions could account for the corresponding mortality differentials at the aggregate level will be assessed.