ETHNIC DIFFERENTIALS IN MORTALITY IN KYRGYZSTAN

描述（改编自申请人的描述）：本申请的目的 一个项目是调查前苏联共和国各民族的死亡率 吉尔吉斯斯坦1959年至1999年关于种族问题存在重大不确定性- 这一人群的具体死亡率水平和趋势， 由于缺乏可用数据，以前没有得到解决。申请人 通过使用新的方法，打算大大缩小不确定性的范围- 国家统计局提供的人口普查和人口动态登记数据 吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国国家统计委员会（NatsStatKom），并通过适用人口统计 这是非常适合这些数据的估计程序。 利用各种人口统计技术，提高人口普查的质量， 将评估登记数据，并通过以下方式改进死亡率估计 将产生一个民族。这些方法包括两次普查之间的比较， 队列规模;基于报告的死亡年龄分布的程序， 特定年龄的增长率;和一个程序，直接生产生命表 从人口的年龄分布和特定年龄的增长率。 这项研究的一个特别重点是按族裔分列的婴儿和儿童死亡率。 组使用自1959年以来每月报告的两岁以下死亡概率 以及关于生育次数的妇女个人普查报告， 1989年和1999年儿童死亡情况， 将编制1959 - 1999年期间按族裔分列的儿童死亡率。 这些估计数将有助于评估报告的质量。 的差异影响进行实质性分析。 苏联后过渡时期各地区儿童死亡率状况 种族群体。 行为和生物医学风险因素在不同种族中的分布 然后，将使用1993年吉尔吉斯斯坦多用途贫困 调查（KMPS），以及这些风险因素分布可能 在总体上说明相应的死亡率差异 将被评估。

DESCRIPTION (Adapted from applicant's description): The purpose of this project is to examine mortality by ethnic group in the former Soviet Republic of Kyrgyzstan from 1959 to 1999. There are major uncertainties about ethnic- specific mortality levels and trends for this population that were unable to be addressed previously due to the lack of available data. The applicant intends to narrow substantially the range of uncertainty by using newly- available census and vital registration data from the National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic (NatsStatKom) and by applying demographic estimation procedures that are well-suited to these data. Using a variety of demographic techniques, the quality of census and vital registration data will be assessed, and improved estimates of mortality by ethnic group will be produced. These methods include intercensal comparison of cohort size; a procedure based on the reported age distribution of deaths and age-specific growth rates; and a procedure for producing life tables directly from the age distribution of the population and age-specific growth rates. A particular focus of this research is infant and child mortality by ethnic group. Using reported monthly probabilities of dying below age two since 1959 and individual census reports of women regarding their number of births and child deaths in 1989 and 1999, improved and independent estimates of infant and child mortality by ethnicity will be produced for the period 1959-1999. These estimates will permit an assessment of the quality of the reported trends and allow a substantive analysis of the differential effect of the post-Soviet transition period on the child mortality conditions of the various ethnic groups. Behavioral and biomedical risk factor distributions among the various ethnic groups will then be estimated using the 1993 Kyrgyzstan Multipurpose Poverty Survey (KMPS), and the extent to which these risk factor distributions could account for the corresponding mortality differentials at the aggregate level will be assessed.