Statistical Approach to Study the Fire Performance of Building Facades: Towards Optimum Design

本项目旨在确定哪些设计因素会影响建筑物立面的火灾危险，并在可能的情况下量化这些影响。第一步是搜索当前关于立面火灾和立面设计的文献，以确定哪些因素可能对火灾危险产生影响。然后，我们搜索尽可能多的立面火灾数据来源。我们查阅了以前的文献实验、工业安全测试和真实的立面火灾。然后，我们设计了一个数据库，可以比较尽可能多的这些数据的基本元素，并且可以很容易地扩展到更多的数据在未来。这些步骤都已完成。我们现在正在使用统计技术，试图确定哪些设计因素对立面的消防安全影响最大。然后，我们希望能够结合联合收割机这种统计分析与当前的物理知识的门面火灾，以创建一个预测模型，可以量化不同的门面的相对消防安全。如果我们成功了，这可以用来帮助优化消防安全以及立面设计的其他重要方面-例如绝缘能力或重量。这项工作代表了第一次整理了如此大量的立面火灾数据，也是消防安全文献中任何火灾测试数据库的第一个例子。该项目在考虑立面优化中的消防安全方面也是新颖的，因为以前的努力主要集中在成本与环境可持续性（例如二氧化碳排放）之间。外墙火灾是一个日益严重的问题，并已在地球仪上造成许多人死亡。我们希望这个项目能采取一些重要措施，减少未来可能发生的火灾数量。

This project aims to identify what design factors affect fire hazard in building facades, and to quantify these effects if possible. The initial step was to search the current literature on fires in facades and facade design to identify which factors could have an effect on fire hazard. We then searched for as many sources of facade fire data as possible. We looked at previous experiments in the literature, industrial safety tests, and real facade fires. We then designed a database that could compare the essential elements of as much of this data as possible, and that could be easily extended to more data in the future. These steps have all been completed. We are now using statistical techniques to try and identify which design factors have the largest impact on the fire safety of facades. We then hope to be able to combine this statistical analysis with the current physical knowledge of facade fires to create a predictive model that could quantify the relative fire safety of different facades. If we are successful, this could then be used to help optimise fire safety alongside other important aspects of facade design - such as insulating ability or weight. This work represents the first time such a large amount of facade fire data has been collated, and one of the first examples of any fire test database in the fire safety literature. This project is also novel in considering fire safety in facade optimisation, as previous efforts have mainly focused on cost versus environmental sustainability (e.g. CO2 emissions). Facade fires are a growing problem, and have cost many lives across the globe. We hope that this project takes some significant steps in reducing the number of the fires that could occur in the future.