External Sources of Instability: How Does Globalisation Affect Electoral Volatility?

这个项目的目的是使用定量方法来理解全球化理论如何应用于选举政治，以解释最近的不稳定和调整趋势。通过使用选举波动性和不稳定性作为因变量，该研究项目将对全球化对国家自主权影响的两种相互竞争的理论的有效性进行实证检验--一种假设全球化必然导致政策制定者丧失政治自主权，另一种假设全球化进程不一定需要取消政策制定者的政治机构。这项研究的结果应该有助于更好地理解经济全球化对选举行为的影响方式，以及经济全球化与优质代议制民主的相容程度。

The aim of this project is to use quantitative methods to understand how globalisation theory can be applied to electoral politics to explain recent trends of instability and dealignment. By using measures of electoral volatility and instability as dependent variables, this research project will test empirically the validity of two competing theories of globalisation's impact on the autonomy of the state - one which posits that globalisation necessarily entails a loss of political autonomy on behalf of policymakers and another which takes the view that the processes of globalisation do not necessitate the removal of political agency from policymakers. The results of this study should contribute to a greater understanding of the ways in which economic globalisation affects electoral behaviour and the extent to which economic globalisation and quality representative democracy are compatible.