Health Impact of Nicotine & Tobacco (HINT): a microsimulation decision-support tool for local and national tobacco control policies in England

该项目将开发一个微观模拟决策支持工具，以帮助地方和国家一级的烟草控制政策制定者。该工具将量化烟草政策的有效性、成本效益和公平性，并在用户友好的基于网络的用户界面中可视化这些信息。在这个项目中，我将通过综合相关证据，包括电子烟的出现，来扩展最先进的IMPACTNco微观模拟框架。然后，我将利用与控烟专家建立的联系，并共同制定“假设”政策情景(例如，提高购买烟草的最低年龄，降低怀孕期间的吸烟率，降低有心理健康问题的人的吸烟率)，为指导控烟政策提供可操作和及时的证据。

This project will develop a microsimulation decision support tool to aid tobacco control policy makers at the local and national levels. The tool will quantify the effectiveness, cost-effectiveness and equity of tobacco policies, and visualise this information in a user-friendly web-based user interface. In this project, I will expand the state-of-the-art IMPACTNco microsimulation framework with a synthesis of relevant evidence, including the emergence of electronic cigarettes. I will then utilise established contacts with tobacco control experts, and co-develop 'what if' policy scenarios (e.g. raising the minimum age to purchase tobacco, reducing prevalence in smoking during pregnancy, reducing smoking prevalence in people with mental health conditions) to produce actionable and timely evidence for guiding tobacco control policies.