Evaluating and constraining storm-resolving climate models
Evaluating and constraining storm-resolving climate models
批准号:
2696699
负责人:
金额:
$0.0万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
英国
项目类别:
Studentship
财政年份:
2022
资助国家:
英国
项目状态:
未结题
起止时间:
2022 至 --
中文摘要
全球风暴分辨模式(GSRMs)能够以前所未有的细节水平模拟大气。它们可以直接计算传统气候模式必须参数化的关键大气过程(Hohenegger et al, 2023)。这大大提高了模拟云和降水场的准确性(例如,Hohenegger et al., 2020),这是减少全球变暖预估不确定性的关键一步(Randall et al., 2003)。尽管如此,由于模型设计选择的重大差异,例如未解决的子网格尺度过程的参数化,GSRM模拟中的重大不确定性仍然存在(Zadra等人,2018)。需要为gsrm提供足够的评估指标,使研究人员能够进一步改进模型,从而促进对未来气候的信心预测(Palmer, 2016)。在这个项目中,我们的目标是为风暴解决模拟开发可靠的评估指标,以指导未来的发展和GSRM的改进。我们的目标是使用这些指标来更深入地了解利用gsrm和卫星观测控制云形成的物理过程。
英文摘要
Global storm-resolving models (GSRMs) enable simulating the atmosphere at an unprecedented level of detail. They can directly compute key atmospheric processes which conventional climate models must parameterise (Hohenegger et al, 2023). This significantly improves the accuracy of the simulated cloud and precipitation fields (e.g., Hohenegger et al., 2020), which is a key step towards reducing the uncertainty in projections of global warming (Randall et al., 2003).Nonetheless, significant uncertainties in GSRM simulations remain due to substantial differences in model design choices, such as parameterisations of remaining unresolved subgrid-scale processes (Zadra et al., 2018). Adequate evaluation metrics for GSRMs are needed to enable researchers to further improve models and thereby facilitate predicting future climates with confidence (Palmer, 2016). In this project, we aim to develop robust evaluation metrics for storm-resolving simulations to guide future developments and GSRM improvements. We aim to use the metrics to gain a deeper understanding of the physical processes which control cloud formation utilising GSRMs and satellite observations.
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