Longer Term Effects of a Natural Disaster on Health and Socio-Economic Status

描述(申请人提供)：近年来，全球各地都发生了自然灾害，死亡人数高达数万人，社会和健康成本惊人。然而，几乎没有证据表明这些灾难对幸存者的长期影响。这在很大程度上反映了有关受影响人群的科学数据的匮乏。该项目将收集和分析海啸灾后和灾后恢复研究的另外两波(STAR)，这是一项大规模的纵向家庭和社区调查，跟踪的是2004年印度洋海啸发生时居住在印度尼西亚苏门答腊岛沿海地区的受访者。2004年印度洋海啸是一场大规模的自然灾害，导致超过16万印尼人死亡。根据海啸前27000人的人口代表性基线，我们在5年内每年跟踪并重新采访海啸幸存者；其中95%的人在海啸发生后至少接受过一次采访。海啸后8年和10年后收集的另外两次家庭和社区调查浪潮将提供独特的丰富资源，不仅可以衡量海啸对儿童和壮年成年人福祉的长期影响，还可以调查一系列广泛的行为反应对这一大规模、意外和多种多样的冲击的中介作用。将调查数据与土地复盖和夜灯的卫星图像结合起来，并结合测量增长和从图像重建的创新方法，将进一步提高调查数据的价值，并为评价这种方法对人口科学的贡献提供机会。有了这些数据，研究人员将调查海啸对心理社会和身体健康、家庭建设、人力资本积累和经济繁荣的长期影响。关于父母和配偶意外死亡、宫内电击和早期生命电击的影响的假设将得到测试。为了描述高死亡率灾难后的人口动态，我们将利用社区一级和行政数据，对选定社区的新的横断面家庭进行简短访谈，以捕捉迁入的影响。STAR的前六波将于2013年进入公共领域，本项目收集的数据将被添加到这个极其丰富的公共用途数据库中。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Natural disasters with death tolls in the tens of thousands and staggering social and health costs have struck across the globe in recent years. Yet, little evidence exists on the longer-term consequences of these disasters on survivors. In large part, this reflects a paucity of scientific data on affected populations. This project will collect and analyze two additional waves of the Study of the Tsunami Aftermath and Recovery (STAR) a large- scale longitudinal household and community survey that follows respondents who were living in coastal Sumatra, Indonesia, at the time of the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami, a massive natural disaster that killed over 160,000 Indonesians. Drawing on a pre-tsunami population-representative baseline of 27,000 individuals, we have tracked and re-interviewed tsunami survivors annually for 5 years; 95% of them have been interviewed at least once since the tsunami. Two additional household and community survey waves, collected 8 and 10 years after the tsunami, will provide a uniquely rich resource to measure not only the longer-term consequences of the tsunami on the well-being of children and prime age adults but to also investigate the mediating role of a broad array of behavioral responses to this large-scale, unanticipated and heterogeneous shock. Integrating the survey data with satellite imagery of land cover and night lights in conjunction with innovative methods to measure growth and reconstruction from imagery will further enhance the value of the survey data and provide opportunities to evaluate the contributions of such methods to the population sciences. With these data, research will investigate the longer-term consequences of the tsunami on psycho-social and physical health, family building, human capital accumulation and economic prosperity. Hypotheses about the impact of unanticipated parent and spousal death, in utero shocks and shocks in early life will be tested. To characterize population dynamics after a high mortality disaster, we will conduct brief interviews with a new cross-section of households in selected communities to capture effects of in-migration, drawing on community- level and administrative data. The first six waves of STAR will be in the public domain in 2013 and data collected in this project will be added to this extremely rich public use database.