Quantitative methods of landslide hazard characterization

摘要，滑坡灾害定性的定量方法O.Hungr，地球和海洋科学，UBC，2005年10月18日滑坡灾害在世界各地造成了稳定的生命损失和经济损失。 由于人口和基础设施的不断增长以及气候变化，损失继续增加。 必须通过风险管理的手段来减少这些风险（例如Hungr，O.，费尔河，库蒂尔河和Eberhardt，E.，Eds.，2005年，“滑坡风险管理”，泰勒和弗朗西斯集团，伦敦）。 任何合理的风险管理政策的基础是地球科学专业人员可靠地预测滑坡的范围和行为特征的能力。 我们的研究小组在开发边坡稳定性分析工具和预测潜在滑坡的破坏机制、破坏特征、速度和流出区域方面处于世界领先地位。 我们打算继续这项发展活动。 这个提议的一部分是为了把我的研究和我的新同事E。艾伯哈特 提案中描述了建立在以前工作基础上的一些具体专题，涉及复杂滑坡的破坏机制、从固体到流体行为的过渡以及跳动模型的改进和校准。 我们还建议解决新的课题，包括滑坡的震级-频率关系和灾难性侵蚀的力学。 我们的研究的一个重要组成部分是，并将继续在该领域的滑坡案例历史调查。 我们的研究旨在为从业者提供新的，可靠的工具。 我们的学生成为地质工程领域的高素质专家。

Summary, Quantitative Methods for Landslide Hazard Characterization O.Hungr, Earth and Ocean Sciences, UBC, October 18, 2005 Landslide hazards exact a steady toll of life loss and economic damage in all parts of the world.  The losses continue to increase in consequence of growing population and infrastructure and as a result of climate change.  They must be reduced by means of risk management (e.g. Hungr, O., Fell, R., Couture, R. and Eberhardt, E., Eds., 2005, "Landslide Risk Management", Taylor and Francis Group, London).  The foundation of any rational risk management policy is the ability of geoscience professionals to reliably predict the extent and behaviour characteristics of landslides.  Our research group is among the world leaders in developing tools for slope stability analysis and prediction of the failure mechanism, failure characteristics, velocity and runout area of potential landslides.  We intend to continue this development activity.  A part of the proposal is an effort to integrate my research with that of my new colleague, Professor E. Eberhardt.  A number of specific topics building on previous work are described in the proposal, dealing with failure mechanisms of complex landslides, transition from solid to fluid behaviour and improvement and calibration of runout models.  We also propose to address new subjects, including magnitude-frequency relationships for landslides and the mechanics of catastrophic erosion.  An important part of our research is and will continue to be, investigation of landslide case histories in the field.  Our research is intended to provide new, reliable tools for practitioners.  Our students become highly qualified specialists in the field of geological engineering.