System of Systems Engineering Methodologies for Responsible Environmental Management

拟议研究的总体目标是设计创新的系统工程方法，以增强系统的系统（SoS）范式内的决策制定，以有意地解决气候变化下涉及水，能源和环境的棘手的SoS问题，以便设计稳健，可持续和公平的解决方案。这种灵活的SoS方法将是综合的，从而跨越水、能源和大气等相互关联的系统；适应性强，因此设计为适当应对意外的紧急行为，如前所未有的洪水和干旱；参与性是为了确保公平考虑包括大自然和子孙后代在内的利益攸关方的价值体系。在冲突解决图表模型（GMCR）的框架内将取得一系列重大进展，例如第三方干预在解决棘手争端中的作用，例如就各国内部和国家之间相互接受的温室气体减排达成一致；解决似乎永无止境的争端的方法，比如纽芬兰和拉布拉多省与魁北克省在经过数十年令人沮丧的谈判后仍在进行的电力开发和传输冲突；并考虑到冲突的等级结构，例如联邦，省和地方政府之间存在的能源和水的冲突，以实现可持续的解决方案。为了将相互关联的冲突引向合作共赢的解决方案，将设计并彻底测试负责任的治理政策和管理实践。对加拿大人来说，现实世界中复杂的高利益冲突，比如通过管道将未精炼的沥青从阿尔伯塔油砂运往美国和亚洲所引起的争议，这将导致加拿大每年损失600亿美元的附加值，将被详细审查，以确定什么对加拿大最有利。通过战略性思考和行动，加拿大人将处于有利地位，以可持续、公平和负责任的方式利用其巨大的水、能源和其他自然资源实现繁荣。

The overall objective of the proposed research is to devise innovative systems engineering methodologies for enhancing decision making within the paradigm of a System of Systems (SoS) to meaningfully address tough SoS problems involving water, energy and the environment within a changing climate regime, in order to design solutions that are robust, sustainable and fair. This flexible SoS approach would be integrative and thereby go across interconnected systems such as water, energy and the atmosphere; adaptive and therefore be designed to appropriately respond to unexpected emergent behavior like unprecedented flooding and drought; and participatory to ensure that the value systems of stakeholders, including nature and future generations, are equitably considered. A range of major advances will be made within the structure of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) such as the role of third party intervention for solving tough disputes like agreeing upon mutually acceptable reductions in greenhouse gas emissions within and among nations; ways for settling what appears to be a never-ending dispute, like the ongoing electrical development and transmission conflict that the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador is still having with Quebec after many decades of frustrating negotiations; and taking into account the hierarchical structure of conflicts, such as those existing over energy and water among the federal, provincial and local governments, for the purpose of achieving sustainable resolutions. In order to lead interconnected conflicts to cooperative win/win resolutions, responsible governance policies and management practices will be designed and thoroughly tested. Complex real world conflicts of high interest to Canadians, like the dispute arising over the proposed shipping via pipeline of unrefined bitumen from the Alberta oil sands to the USA and Asia which will result in the loss of $60 billion per year in added value to Canada, will be examined in detail to ascertain what is best for Canada. By thinking and acting strategically, Canadians will be in an advantageous position to sustainably, fairly and responsibly prosper from their immense water, energy and other natural resources.