System of Systems Engineering Methodologies for Responsible Environmental Management

拟议研究的总体目标是设计创新的系统工程方法，以加强系统（SoS）范式内的决策，以有意义地解决涉及水，能源和环境的气候变化制度中的坚韧的SoS问题，以设计出稳健，可持续和公平的解决方案。这种灵活的SoS方法将是综合性的，从而跨越相互关联的系统，如水，能源和大气;自适应性，因此旨在适当地应对前所未有的洪水和干旱等意外的紧急行为;参与性，以确保公平考虑利益相关者的价值体系，包括自然和后代。在解决冲突的图表模型（GMCR）的结构内将取得一系列重大进展，例如第三方干预在解决坚韧争端中的作用，如就各国内部和各国之间相互接受的温室气体减排达成一致;解决似乎永无休止的争端的方法，比如，经过几十年令人沮丧的谈判，纽芬兰和拉布拉多省与魁北克之间仍在进行的电力开发和输电冲突;并考虑到冲突的等级结构，如联邦、省和地方政府之间存在的能源和水冲突，以便实现可持续的解决。为了将相互关联的冲突引导到合作双赢的解决方案中，将设计并彻底测试负责任的治理政策和管理实践。加拿大人高度关注的复杂的真实的世界冲突，如拟议通过管道将未精制沥青从阿尔伯塔油砂运往美国和亚洲所引起的争端，这将导致加拿大每年损失600亿美元的附加值，将详细审查，以确定什么对加拿大最有利。通过战略性的思考和行动，加拿大人将处于有利地位，以可持续、公平和负责任的方式从其巨大的水、能源和其他自然资源中繁荣起来。

The overall objective of the proposed research is to devise innovative systems engineering methodologies for enhancing decision making within the paradigm of a System of Systems (SoS) to meaningfully address tough SoS problems involving water, energy and the environment within a changing climate regime, in order to design solutions that are robust, sustainable and fair. This flexible SoS approach would be integrative and thereby go across interconnected systems such as water, energy and the atmosphere; adaptive and therefore be designed to appropriately respond to unexpected emergent behavior like unprecedented flooding and drought; and participatory to ensure that the value systems of stakeholders, including nature and future generations, are equitably considered. A range of major advances will be made within the structure of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) such as the role of third party intervention for solving tough disputes like agreeing upon mutually acceptable reductions in greenhouse gas emissions within and among nations; ways for settling what appears to be a never-ending dispute, like the ongoing electrical development and transmission conflict that the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador is still having with Quebec after many decades of frustrating negotiations; and taking into account the hierarchical structure of conflicts, such as those existing over energy and water among the federal, provincial and local governments, for the purpose of achieving sustainable resolutions. In order to lead interconnected conflicts to cooperative win/win resolutions, responsible governance policies and management practices will be designed and thoroughly tested. Complex real world conflicts of high interest to Canadians, like the dispute arising over the proposed shipping via pipeline of unrefined bitumen from the Alberta oil sands to the USA and Asia which will result in the loss of $60 billion per year in added value to Canada, will be examined in detail to ascertain what is best for Canada. By thinking and acting strategically, Canadians will be in an advantageous position to sustainably, fairly and responsibly prosper from their immense water, energy and other natural resources.