Controls on high-latitude mountain permafrost distribution and sensitivity to climate change

我的研究计划的目标是检查不同的高纬度山脉在纬度样带，以评估如何改变表面反转（非典型的模式变暖与海拔）的频率和幅度可能会影响永久冻土分布在加拿大西北部的气候变暖。此外，我的计划旨在研究海拔依赖变暖（EDW）的假设，这是一个概念模型，表明未来变暖的速度预计将在高海拔相对于邻近的低海拔环境放大。该计划将涉及五名HQP的培训，重点是一个框架，以测试高纬度山区永久冻土的融化不会遵循典型的海拔或纬度梯度，而是与当地气候，地貌和植被相联系，从而导致融化的异质模式。我的计划旨在调整EDW假设，以便更包容加拿大各地的可变山区环境。方法的目的是在两个广阔的山区，包括高度大陆性的麦肯齐山脉和高纬度的奥格尔维山脉，利用现场，地质建模和数据分析技术相结合。我的计划侧重于独立收集数据，在这些网站上使用气象站和数据记录器安排沿着海拔和纬度横断面检查树木的存在，山谷结构与太阳辐射的影响，和大陆性。将这些数据与再分析气候数据和气候预测相结合，总体目标将是评估地形温度场的重塑，并衡量这种重塑将如何影响解冻的空间分布和永久冻土相关的危害的可能性。气候变化对山区环境的潜在影响仍然是寒冷地区研究较少的前沿领域之一，变暖的影响和潜在的反馈在很大程度上尚未探索。因此，在我的计划中进行的研究对于了解气候变暖与陆地冰冻圈相互作用之间的联系至关重要，这些系统与特别容易变化的环境中的更广泛的系统相互作用。这项研究旨在支持资源工业，交通和其他基础设施的规划，同时为气候和生态系统模型提供更好的永久冻土变化估计。我的目标是制作新的绘图和视觉辅助工具，为土地管理人员、当地原住民和其他人提供沟通和政策制定方面的战略。

The goal of my research program is to examine dissimilar high-latitude mountains across a latitudinal transect to assess how changes to surface inversion (the atypical pattern of warming with elevation) frequency and magnitude may impact permafrost distribution in the warming climate of northwestern Canada. Additionally, my program aims to examine the hypothesis of elevation dependent warming (EDW), a conceptual model suggesting that the rate of future warming is expected to be amplified at high elevation relative to adjacent low elevation environments. This program will involve the training of five HQP focused on a framework to test the concept that thawing of high-latitude mountain permafrost will not follow a typical elevation or latitudinal gradient, but will rather be linked to local climate, geomorphology and vegetation, resulting in a heterogeneous pattern of thaw. My program looks to adjust the EDW hypothesis in order to be more inclusive of variable mountainous environments across Canada. Methods aim to utilize a combination of field, geomatic modelling and data analysis techniques within two broad mountainous regions including the highly continental Mackenzie Mountains and the high-latitude Ogilvie Mountains. My program focuses on the independent gathering of data in these sites using weather stations and data loggers arranged along elevational and latitudinal transects examining the impact of tree presence, valley structure relating to solar radiation, and continentality. Amalgamating these data with both reanalysis climate data and climate projections, the overall objective will be to assess the reshaping of the topo-temperature field and gauge how this reshaping will impact the spatial distribution of thaw and the potential for permafrost-related hazards.The objectives of this research program aim to significantly advance our knowledge of the relationship between climate and geomorphology in mountain environments. The potential effects of climate change in mountainous environments remain one of the lesser-studied frontiers of cold regions with warming impacts and potential feedbacks largely unexplored. As a result, the research set to be carried out in my program is critical to understanding the links between warming climate and terrestrial cryospheric interaction with broader-linked systems in an environment particularly prone to change. This research aims to support planning for the resource industry, transportation and other infrastructure while providing better estimates of permafrost changed for climate and ecosystem models. My goals aim to generate new mapping and visual aids providing strategies for land managers, local First Nations and others in communication and policy development.