JUE Insight: How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities.

JUE Insight: How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jue.2020.103292
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发表时间:
2022-01
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
Redding SJ
Redding SJ
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Glaeser EL;Gorback C;Redding SJ

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限制人员流动对限制COVID-19传播的效果如何?利用美国五个城市的邮政编码数据,我们估计,流动性每下降10个百分点,人均病例总数就会减少19%。为了解决内生性问题,我们通过住宅、电信和基本份额来衡量旅行,发现人均病例下降了25%。使用纽约市具有周和邮政编码固定效应的面板数据,我们估计下降了30%。我们发现了大量的时空异质性;东海岸城市受到的影响更大,纽约在疫情早期受到的影响最大。
How effective are restrictions on mobility in limiting COVID-19 spread? Using zip code data across five U.S. cities, we estimate that total cases per capita decrease by 19% for every ten percentage point fall in mobility. Addressing endogeneity concerns, we instrument for travel by residential teleworkable and essential shares and find a 25% decline in cases per capita. Using panel data for NYC with week and zip code fixed effects, we estimate a decline of 30%. We find substantial spatial and temporal heterogeneity; east coast cities have stronger effects, with the largest for NYC in the pandemic’s early stages.
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