Carbon Emissions in the SAARC Countries with Causal Effects of FDI, Economic Growth and Other Economic Factors: Evidence from Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Models.

Carbon Emissions in the SAARC Countries with Causal Effects of FDI, Economic Growth and Other Economic Factors: Evidence from Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Models.
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南盟国家碳排放与FDI、经济增长和其他经济因素的因果关系:来自动态联立方程模型的证据。

DOI:
10.3390/ijerph18094605
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发表时间:
2021-04-27
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Sattar U
Sattar U
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Latief R;Kong Y;Javeed SA;Sattar U

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南亚区域合作联盟(南盟)国家和其他发展中国家一样,是外国投资者的主要目的地。与此同时,这些国家面临着不同的气候变化挑战。本文运用面板协整检验、动态最小二乘法(DOLS)和向量误差修正模型(VECM)对南盟国家碳排放的经济决定因素及其与外商直接投资(FDI)、经济增长(EG)等经济因素的动态因果关系进行了实证研究。为了进行同质分析,我们检查了1990年至2016年期间单个国家和一组变量之间的关联。本研究的面板结果证实了EG与CE存在单向因果关系。其他经济因素的面板结果证实了城市人口(UP)和能源消费(EC)与CE的因果关系。此外,国内资本(DS)和通货膨胀率(INF)的面板结果证实了与EG的因果关系。最后,DS的面板结果揭示了与FDI的因果关系。基于上述研究结果,本文提出了一些政策建议。
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries like other developing countries are the major destination for foreign investors. At the same time, these countries are facing different climate change challenges. This study aims to inspect the economic determinants of carbon emissions (CE) and dynamic causal interaction of CE with foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth (EG), and other economic factors using panel cointegration test, dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and vector error correction model (VECM) for the SAARC countries. To make the homogenous analysis, we examined the association among variables for the individual country and as a group for the period 1990 to 2016. The panel results of this study confirmed the presence of the unidirectional causal association of EG with CE. The panel results of other economic factors confirmed the causality of urban population (UP) and energy consumption (EC) with CE. Moreover, the panel results of domestic capital (DS) and inflation rate (INF) confirmed the causal association with EG. Finally, the panel results of DS revealed a causality with FDI. Based on the above results, some policy guidelines are proposed.
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