Does social trust slow down or speed up the transmission of COVID-19?

Does social trust slow down or speed up the transmission of COVID-19?
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社会信任是会减慢或加快COVID-19的传播吗?

DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0244273
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
Min J
Min J
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Min J

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历史上,社会信任一直是克服危机的重要机制。一些协会现在正在强调其在抗击 COVID-19 大流行中的作用。本研究旨在调查 68 个国家的社会信任变化与 COVID-19 传播速度的关系。具体来说,该研究利用世界价值调查的跨国指数数据,测试了各国社会信任的差异如何产生不同的时间持续时间,每个国家在新冠病毒感染人数增加方面达到峰值的持续时间不同。这项研究利用2019年12月31日至2020年7月31日期间的数据发现,在社会信任水平较高的国家,尤其是群体内成员之间的信任度较高,或者受托人范围比中等范围更窄或更宽的国家,新增感染人数往往比其他国家在更短的时间内达到第一个峰值。这些结果意味着,在这样的社会中,一方面,人们之间为实现共同目标而进行的高度合作以及对社会规范的严格遵守可能使他们能够更快地开始消灭 COVID-19。然而,另一方面,人们对低风险的认知和普遍存在的凝聚力可能会导致在中和作用发生之前,COVID-19 的传播速度加快。
Social trust has been an important mechanism in overcoming crises throughout history. Several societies are now emphasizing its role in combating the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to investigate how variations in social trust across 68 countries are related to the transmission speed of COVID-19. Specifically, using cross-national index data from the World Value Survey, the study tests how variations in social trust across countries generate different time durations at which each country reaches the peak in terms of increases in new infections of COVID-19. Using data drawn between December 31, 2019 and July 31, 2020, this study found that in countries with a high level of social trust, particularly trust among ingroup members, or with a narrower or wider range than the intermediate range of trustees, the number of new infections tended to reach the first peak within a shorter time duration than in other countries. These results imply that in such societies, on the one hand, high cooperation among people to achieve common goals and strong compliance to social norms may allow them to begin neutralizing COVID-19 faster. On the other hand, however, the low risk perception and prevalence of cohesive relationships among people may lead to speedier transmission of COVID-19 before neutralization takes place.
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