Estimation of urban residential electricity demand in China using household survey data
Estimation of urban residential electricity demand in China using household survey data
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利用入户调查数据估算中国城市居民用电需求
DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.092
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发表时间：
2013-10
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
滕飞
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
周绍杰;滕飞
本文利用2007 - 2009年四川省城镇住户调查数据，估计了居民用电需求的收入弹性和价格弹性，并沿着了生活方式相关变量的影响。实证结果表明，四川省城镇居民用电需求的价格弹性和收入弹性分别为-0.35 ~-0.50和0.14 ~ 0.33。与生活方式有关的变量，如人口变量、住宅面积和家用电器的持有量，也是住宅电力需求的重要决定因素，特别是后者。这些结果对各种灵敏度试验具有稳健性。研究结果表明，城市居民用电需求随着收入的增长而不断增加。本文的实证研究结果对我国部分城市实施阶梯电价具有重要的政策意义，并有望通过推广节能家电在全国范围内推广。
This paper uses annual urban household survey data of Sichuan Province from 2007 to 2009 to estimate the income and price elasticities of residential electricity demand, along with the effects of lifestyle-related variables. The empirical results show that in the urban area of Sichuan province, the residential electricity demand is price- and income-inelastic, with price and income elasticities ranging from −0.35 to −0.50 and from 0.14 to 0.33, respectively. Such lifestyle-related variables as demographic variables, dwelling size and holdings of home appliances, are also important determinants of residential electricity demand, especially the latter. These results are robust to a variety of sensitivity tests. The research findings imply that urban residential electricity demand continues to increase with the growth of income. The empirical results have important policy implications for the Multistep Electricity Price, which been adopted in some cities and is expected to be promoted nationwide through the installation of energy-efficient home appliances.
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