Climate variability and change and their potential health effects in small island states: information for adaptation planning in the health sector.
Climate variability and change and their potential health effects in small island states: information for adaptation planning in the health sector.
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DOI：
10.1289/ehp.8429
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发表时间：
2006-12
影响因子：
10.4
通讯作者：
Corvalan C
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ebi KL;Lewis ND;Corvalan C
小岛屿国家可能是最容易受到气候变率和长期气候变化影响的国家。气候模型表明，小岛屿国家将经历更温暖的温度和降雨、土壤水分平衡、盛行风（速度和方向）以及波浪作用模式的变化。El Niño事件可能会加强短期和年际气候变化。此外，预计到2100年，全球平均海平面将增加0.09-0.88 m，对区域和局部海平面的影响是可变的。为了更好地了解这些预测变化对人类健康的潜在影响，世界卫生组织与世界气象组织和联合国环境规划署合作举办了一系列讲习班和会议，讨论了以下问题：气候敏感性疾病在小岛屿国家的当前分布和负担、气候变异和变化未来对健康的潜在影响、目前用于减轻气候敏感性疾病负担的干预措施、为适应当前和未来的健康影响所需的其他干预措施，以及气候变异和变化对其他部门的健康影响。对这些问题的信息进行了综合，并确定了主要建议，以提高卫生部门对小岛屿国家气候变率和变化的预测和准备能力。
Small island states are likely the countries most vulnerable to climate variability and long-term climate change. Climate models suggest that small island states will experience warmer temperatures and changes in rainfall, soil moisture budgets, prevailing winds (speed and direction), and patterns of wave action. El Niño events likely will strengthen short-term and interannual climate variations. In addition, global mean sea level is projected to increase by 0.09–0.88 m by 2100, with variable effects on regional and local sea level. To better understand the potential human health consequences of these projected changes, a series of workshops and a conference organized by the World Health Organization, in partnership with the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme, addressed the following issues: the current distribution and burden of climate-sensitive diseases in small island states, the potential future health impacts of climate variability and change, the interventions currently used to reduce the burden of climate-sensitive diseases, additional interventions that are needed to adapt to current and future health impacts, and the health implications of climate variability and change in other sectors. Information on these issues is synthesized and key recommendations are identified for improving the capacity of the health sector to anticipate and prepare for climate variability and change in small island states.
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影响因子：
4.6
作者：
Meehl, GA
通讯作者：
Meehl, GA
影响因子：
3.2
作者：
SPENNEMANN, DHR;MARSCHNER, IC
通讯作者：
MARSCHNER, IC
影响因子：
3.5
作者：
BROWN, BE;SUHARSONO
通讯作者：
SUHARSONO
影响因子：
4.8
作者：
Royer, JF;Chauvin, F;Grimal, D
通讯作者：
Grimal, D
影响因子：
1.1
作者：
Lal, M;Harasawa, H;Takahashi, K
通讯作者：
Takahashi, K