Trends in Earnings Volatility Using Linked Administrative and Survey Data

Trends in Earnings Volatility Using Linked Administrative and Survey Data
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使用关联的管理和调查数据的收益波动趋势

DOI:
10.1080/07350015.2022.2102023
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发表时间:
2023
影响因子:
3
通讯作者:
Bollinger, Christopher R.
Bollinger, Christopher R.
中科院分区:
数学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ziliak, James P.;Hokayem, Charles;Bollinger, Christopher R.

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我们使用来自1995-2015纳税年度CPS ASEC和社会保障收入记录的独特关联调查数据,分别按性别记录收入波动趋势。确切的数据链接,使我们能够专注于测量波动性的差异,从收益无响应,调查损耗,调查和行政收益数据报告之间的测量,同时保持不变的抽样框架。我们对男性和女性的研究结果表明,波动性的水平和趋势在调查和行政数据中是相似的,显示男性对商业周期的敏感性很大,但在连续工作者中没有整体趋势,而女性在商业周期中的收入波动性没有变化,但呈下降趋势。一个实质性的差异出现与调查nonresponses之间的估算收入,这表明ASEC的用户下降收入nonresponses。
We document trends in earnings volatility separately by gender using unique linked survey data from the CPS ASEC and Social Security earnings records for the tax years spanning 1995–2015. The exact data link permits us to focus on differences in measured volatility from earnings nonresponse, survey attrition, and measurement between survey and administrative earnings data reports, while holding constant the sampling frame. Our results for both men and women suggest that the level and trend in volatility is similar in the survey and administrative data, showing substantial business-cycle sensitivity among men but no overall trend among continuous workers, while women demonstrate no change in earnings volatility over the business cycle but a declining trend. A substantive difference emerges with the inclusion of imputed earnings among survey nonrespondents, suggesting that users of the ASEC drop earnings nonrespondents.
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