PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY

PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY
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英国经济前景

DOI:
10.1017/nie.2020.20
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Lenoël C
Lenoël C
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
--
作者:
Lenoël C

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* NIESR。电子邮件:c. lenoel@ niesr. AC.英国.感谢Jagjit Chadha提供有用的意见和建议。我们也感谢Patricia Sanchez Juanino编制数据库。除非另有说明,图和表中报告的所有数据均来自NiGEM数据库和预测基线。英国的预测分析已于2020年4月17日完成,文本中包含了更多最新数据。过去三个月的经济前景已经变得面目全非。在我们上一次检讨时,新冠肺炎疫情被视为令人担忧的健康威胁,可能影响中国及邻近经济体,但并非我们评估全球经济前景的核心。从那时起,世界各国实施了一系列社交距离措施,以“拉平曲线”并限制新冠肺炎的传播。正如本评论在世界经济一章中所讨论的那样,这些措施的效果是阻止了许多经济活动。
* NIESR. E-mail: c. lenoel@ niesr. ac. uk. Thanks to Jagjit Chadha for helpful comments and suggestions. We also thank Patricia Sanchez Juanino for compiling the database. Unless otherwise stated, the source of all data reported in the figures and tables is the NiGEM database and forecast baseline. The UK forecast analysis was completed on 17 April 2020, more recent data are incorporated in the text.The economic outlook in the past three months has changed beyond recognition. At the time of our last Review, the emerging Covid-19 pandemic was seen as a worrying health threat that could affect China and neighbouring economies, but was not central to our assessment of the global economic outlook. Since then, countries around the world have imposed a range of social distancing measures to ‘flatten the curve’and limit the spread of Covid-19. These measures have had the effect of stopping much economic activity, as discussed in the world economy chapter of this Review.
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