Estimating influenza disease burden from population-based surveillance data in the United States.

Estimating influenza disease burden from population-based surveillance data in the United States.
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DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0118369
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发表时间:
2015
期刊:
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
Finelli L
Finelli L
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Reed C;Chaves SS;Daily Kirley P;Emerson R;Aragon D;Hancock EB;Butler L;Baumbach J;Hollick G;Bennett NM;Laidler MR;Thomas A;Meltzer MI;Finelli L

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Annual estimates of the influenza disease burden provide information to evaluate programs and allocate resources. We used a multiplier method with routine population-based surveillance data on influenza hospitalization in the United States to correct for under-reporting and estimate the burden of influenza for seasons after the 2009 pandemic. Five sites of the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET) collected data on the frequency and sensitivity of influenza testing during two seasons to estimate under-detection. Population-based rates of influenza-associated hospitalization and Intensive Care Unit admission from 2010–2013 were extrapolated to the U.S. population from FluSurv-NET and corrected for under-detection. Influenza deaths were calculated using a ratio of deaths to hospitalizations. We estimated that influenza-related hospitalizations were under-detected during 2010-11 by a factor of 2.1 (95%CI 1.7–2.9) for age < 18 years, 3.1 (2.4–4.5) for ages 18-64 years, and 5.2 (95%CI 3.8–8.3) for age 65+. Results were similar in 2011-12. Extrapolated estimates for 3 seasons from 2010–2013 included: 114,192–624,435 hospitalizations, 18,491–95,390 ICU admissions, and 4,915–27,174 deaths per year; 54–70% of hospitalizations and 71–85% of deaths occurred among adults aged 65+. Influenza causes a substantial disease burden in the U.S. that varies by age and season. Periodic estimation of multipliers across multiple sites and age groups improves our understanding of influenza detection in sentinel surveillance systems. Adjusting surveillance data using a multiplier method is a relatively simple means to estimate the impact of influenza and the subsequent value of interventions to prevent influenza.
DOI: 10.1093/cid/cit273
发表时间: 2013-07
期刊: Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
影响因子: --
作者:
Biggerstaff M;Reed C;Epperson S;Jhung MA;Gambhir M;Bresee JS;Jernigan DB;Swerdlow DL;Finelli L
通讯作者: Finelli L
DOI: 10.1001/jama.289.2.179
发表时间: 2003-01-08
影响因子: 120.7
作者:
Thompson, WW;Shay, DK;Fukuda, K
通讯作者: Fukuda, K
DOI: 10.1128/jcm.40.6.2051-2056.2002
发表时间: 2002-06-01
影响因子: 9.4
作者:
Steininger, C;Kundi, M;Popow-Kraupp, T
通讯作者: Popow-Kraupp, T
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciq012
发表时间: 2011-01-01
影响因子: 11.8
作者:
Shrestha, Sundar S.;Swerdlow, David L.;Meltzer, Martin I.
通讯作者: Meltzer, Martin I.
DOI: 10.1086/653202
发表时间: 2010-07-01
影响因子: 4.5
作者:
Talbot, H. Keipp;Williams, John V.;Edwards, Kathryn M.
通讯作者: Edwards, Kathryn M.