The ‘Law of Conservation of Disproportionality’ and Electoral Prospects of Small Parties
The ‘Law of Conservation of Disproportionality’ and Electoral Prospects of Small Parties
复制标题
“比例守恒定律”与小党的选举前景
DOI：
10.1007/978-3-658-17446-0_7
复制
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Philipp Harfst
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Philipp Harfst
选举制度对一般政党制度，特别是小政党的创建和代表性具有众所周知的影响：虽然比例代表制（PR）有利于小政党的选举成功，但大政党往往会从得票最多的后多数选举制度中受益。然而，据观察，小政党更容易在公共关系系统中形成，但从长远来看，在公共关系选举中也往往不太成功。这些看似矛盾的观察结果可能被解释为选举制度带来的保守性，而不是促进小政党的选举成功，公关可能会阻止政党和选民的战略协调，从而惩罚小政党。为了调查的问题是否保守的不确定性发生和歧视小政党比我们预期的，我从理论上推导出特定的时间模式的发展不确定性和分析数据的选举制度的变化，从10个中欧和东欧民主国家。我表明，有一些证据表明，保守的非对称性发生。然而，不可能将选举制度的改变与小党派的选举成功直接挂钩。
Electoral systems have well known implications for party systems in general and the creation and representation of small parties in particular: while proportional representation (PR) favours small parties’ electoral success, large parties tend to benefit from first past the post majoritarian electoral systems. However, it has been observed that small parties more easily form in PR systems, but also tend to be less successful in PR elections in the long run. These seemingly contradictory observations might be explained by the conservation of disproportionality that electoral systems bring with them Instead of fostering the electoral success of small parties, PR might prevent parties and voters from strategic coordination and thus punish small parties. In order to investigate the question whether conservation of disproportionality occurs and discriminates against small parties more than we would expect, I theoretically derive particular temporal patterns of development of disproportionality and analyse data on electoral system change from 10 Central and Eastern European democracies. I show that there is some evidence that conservation of disproportionality occurs. However, it is not possible to draw a direct line from electoral system change to the electoral success of small parties.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
2.3
作者：
R. Taagepera
通讯作者：
R. Taagepera
不平等之间的竞争：主流政党策略在利基政党成功中的作用
影响因子：
6.8
作者：
Bonnie M. Meguid
通讯作者：
Bonnie M. Meguid
后共产主义民主中的战略投票？
影响因子：
5
作者：
R. Duch;H. Palmer
通讯作者：
H. Palmer
西欧的 Grüne Parteien
DOI：
--
发表时间：
1993
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
Ferdinand Müller
通讯作者：
Ferdinand Müller
影响因子：
5
作者：
R. Jackman;Karin Volpert
通讯作者：
Karin Volpert