Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines.
Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines.
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DOI：
10.1371/journal.pmed.1003793
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发表时间：
2021-10
期刊：
影响因子：
15.8
通讯作者：
Rivers C
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Pollett S;Johansson MA;Reich NG;Brett-Major D;Del Valle SY;Venkatramanan S;Lowe R;Porco T;Berry IM;Deshpande A;Kraemer MUG;Blazes DL;Pan-Ngum W;Vespigiani A;Mate SE;Silal SP;Kandula S;Sippy R;Quandelacy TM;Morgan JJ;Ball J;Morton LC;Althouse BM;Pavlin J;van Panhuis W;Riley S;Biggerstaff M;Viboud C;Brady O;Rivers C
数十年来，包括COVID-19在内的传染病暴发凸显了传染病流行预测和预测研究的重要性。与临床试验和系统审查等其他医学研究领域不同，尽管流行病预测和预测研究具有实用性，但没有报告指南。因此，我们制定了EPIFORGE核对表，这是流行病预测研究标准化报告的指南。我们采用制定报告指南的最佳实践流程制定了这份清单，其中包括德尔菲过程和与传染病建模者和模型最终用户国际小组的广泛协商。这些准则的目标是提高流行病预测报告的一致性、可重复性、可比性和质量。该指南的目的不是就如何进行流行病预测和预测研究向科学家提供建议，而是作为报告此类研究的关键方法细节的标准。这些准则已提交给EQUATOR网络，此外还由其他专门网页托管，以促进反馈和期刊认可。西蒙·波利特（Simon Pollett）及其同事描述了EPIFORGE，这是一个报告流行病预测研究的指南。
The importance of infectious disease epidemic forecasting and prediction research is underscored by decades of communicable disease outbreaks, including COVID-19. Unlike other fields of medical research, such as clinical trials and systematic reviews, no reporting guidelines exist for reporting epidemic forecasting and prediction research despite their utility. We therefore developed the EPIFORGE checklist, a guideline for standardized reporting of epidemic forecasting research. We developed this checklist using a best-practice process for development of reporting guidelines, involving a Delphi process and broad consultation with an international panel of infectious disease modelers and model end users. The objectives of these guidelines are to improve the consistency, reproducibility, comparability, and quality of epidemic forecasting reporting. The guidelines are not designed to advise scientists on how to perform epidemic forecasting and prediction research, but rather to serve as a standard for reporting critical methodological details of such studies. These guidelines have been submitted to the EQUATOR network, in addition to hosting by other dedicated webpages to facilitate feedback and journal endorsement. Simon Pollett and co-workers describe EPIFORGE, a guideline for reporting research on epidemic forecasting.
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作者：
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DOI：
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发表时间：
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