Time Trends of Dietary and Lifestyle Factors and Their Potential Impact on Diabetes Burden in China.

Time Trends of Dietary and Lifestyle Factors and Their Potential Impact on Diabetes Burden in China.
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DOI:
10.2337/dc17-0571
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发表时间:
2017-12
期刊:
影响因子:
16.2
通讯作者:
Hu FB
Hu FB
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Li Y;Wang DD;Ley SH;Vasanti M;Howard AG;He Y;Hu FB

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研究危险因素的长期趋势,估计其对 1991 年至 2011 年 2 型糖尿病负担的影响,并预测未来 20 年的趋势。危险因素分布基于 1991-2011 年中国健康与营养调查的数据。通过应用比较风险评估方法来估计可归因于每个风险因素的所有非最佳水平的糖尿病病例。 2011年,高BMI是中国糖尿病病例的首要个人归因因素,导致糖尿病病例达4380万例,人群归因比例为46.8%。全谷物摄入量低和精制谷物摄入量高是中国的主要饮食风险因素,分别导致 3780 万和 2180 万糖尿病病例。与低体力活动、高血压和当前吸烟相关的糖尿病病例数分别为 29.5、21.6 和 980 万。尽管低脂乳制品、坚果、水果、蔬菜、鱼类和海鲜的摄入量随着时间的推移略有增加,但 2011 年的平均摄入量低于最佳水平,分别导致 15.8、11.3、9.9、6.0、3.6 和 260 万例糖尿病病例。与此同时,加工肉类、红肉和含糖饮料的摄入量随着时间的推移呈增加趋势,2011年分别导致2.8、1.8和50万糖尿病病例。高BMI和低全谷物摄入量但高精制谷物摄入量是与中国糖尿病负担相关的最重要的个人危险因素;体力活动不足和高血压也起到了重要作用。
To examine the secular trends in risk factors, estimate their impact on type 2 diabetes burden from 1991 to 2011, and project trends in the next 20 years. Risk factor distributions were based on data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey 1991–2011. Diabetes cases attributable to all nonoptimal levels of each risk factor were estimated by applying the comparative risk assessment method. In 2011, high BMI was the leading individual attributable factor for diabetes cases in China responsible for 43.8 million diabetes cases with a population-attributable fraction of 46.8%. Low whole-grain intake and high refined grain intake were the leading dietary risk factors in China responsible for 37.8 million and 21.8 million diabetes-attributable cases, respectively. The number of attributable diabetes cases associated with low physical activity, high blood pressure, and current smoking was 29.5, 21.6, and 9.8 million, respectively. Although intakes of low-fat dairy products, nuts, fruit, vegetables, and fish and seafood increased moderately over time, the average intake was below optimal levels in 2011 and were responsible for 15.8, 11.3, 9.9, 6.0, 3.6, and 2.6 million diabetes cases, respectively. Meanwhile, intakes of processed meat, red meat, and sugar-sweetened beverage showed increasing trends over time and were responsible for 2.8, 1.8, and 0.5 million diabetes cases, respectively, in 2011. A high BMI and low intake of whole grains but high intake of refined grains are the most important individual risk factors related to Chinese diabetes burden; low physical activity and high blood pressure also significantly contributed.
DOI: 10.1056/nejmoa010492
发表时间: 2001-09-13
影响因子: 158.5
作者:
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期刊: DIABETES CARE
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