Systolic blood pressure and incident heart failure in the elderly. The Cardiovascular Health Study and the Health, Ageing and Body Composition Study.
Systolic blood pressure and incident heart failure in the elderly. The Cardiovascular Health Study and the Health, Ageing and Body Composition Study.
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DOI:
10.1136/hrt.2011.225482
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发表时间:
2011-08
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Psaty BM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Butler J;Kalogeropoulos AP;Georgiopoulou VV;Bibbins-Domingo K;Najjar SS;Sutton-Tyrrell KC;Harris TB;Kritchevsky SB;Lloyd-Jones DM;Newman AB;Psaty BM
The exact form of the association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and heart failure (HF) risk in the elderly remains incompletely defined, especially in individuals not receiving antihypertensive medications. Our aim was to examine the association between SBP and HF risk in the elderly. Competing-risks proportional hazards modeling of incident HF risk, utilizing 10-year follow-up data from two NIH-sponsored cohort studies; the Cardiovascular Health Study (inception: 1989-90 and 1992-93) and the Health ABC Study (inception: 1997-98). Community-based cohorts. 4408 participants (age, 72.8 [4.9] years; 53.1% women, 81.7% white; 18.3% black) without prevalent HF and not receiving antihypertensive medications at baseline. Incident HF, defined as first adjudicated hospitalisation for HF. Over 10 years, 493 (11.1%) participants developed HF. Prehypertension (120-139 mmHg), stage 1 (140-159 mmHg), and stage 2 (≥160 mmHg) hypertension were associated with escalating HF risk; hazard ratios vs. optimal SBP (<120 mmHg) in competing-risks models controlling for clinical characteristics were 1.63 (95% CI, 1.23-2.16; P=0.001), 2.21 (95% CI, 1.65-2.96; P<0.001), and 2.60 (95% CI, 1.85-364; P<0.001), respectively. Overall 255 of 493 (51.7%) HF events occurred in participants with SBP <140 mm Hg at baseline. Increasing SBP was associated with higher HF risk in women than men; no race-SBP interaction was observed. In analyses with continuous SBP, HF risk had a continuous positive association with SBP to levels as low as 113 mmHg in men and 112 mmHg in women. There is a continuous positive association between SBP and HF risk in the elderly for levels of SBP as low as <115 mmHg; over half of incident HF events occur in individuals with SBP <140 mmHg.
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影响因子:
9.7
作者:
Kalogeropoulos, Andreas;Psaty, Bruce M.;Butler, Javed
通讯作者:
Butler, Javed
影响因子:
37.8
作者:
Bibbins-Domingo, K;Lin, F;Shlipak, MG
通讯作者:
Shlipak, MG
影响因子:
--
作者:
Kalogeropoulos, Andreas;Georgiopoulou, Vasiliki;Kritchevsky, Stephen B.;Psaty, Bruce M.;Smith, Nicholas L.;Newman, Anne B.;Rodondi, Nicolas;Satterfield, Suzanne;Bauer, Douglas C.;Bibbins-Domingo, Kirsten;Smith, Andrew L.;Wilson, Peter W. F.;Vasan, Ramachandran S.;Harris, Tamara B.;Butler, Javed
通讯作者:
Butler, Javed
影响因子:
2.7
作者:
Barnard, J;Rubin, DB
通讯作者:
Rubin, DB
影响因子:
5.9
作者:
Dunlay, Shannon M.;Weston, Susan A.;Roger, Veronique L.
通讯作者:
Roger, Veronique L.