Biological Aging Predicts Vulnerability to COVID-19 Severity in UK Biobank Participants.

Biological Aging Predicts Vulnerability to COVID-19 Severity in UK Biobank Participants.
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DOI:
10.1093/gerona/glab060
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发表时间:
2021-07-13
期刊:
The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Levine ME
Levine ME
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kuo CL;Pilling LC;Atkins JL;Masoli JAH;Delgado J;Tignanelli C;Kuchel GA;Melzer D;Beckman KB;Levine ME

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年龄和患病率是2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)症状严重程度和死亡的两个最大风险因素。因此,我们假设,除了实际年龄之外,生物学年龄的增加可能正在推动COVID-19严重程度的疾病相关趋势。使用英国生物银行英格兰数据,我们测试了在COVID-19大流行前十多年测量的生物年龄估计值(PhenoAge)是否可以预测2种COVID-19严重程度结果(住院患者检测阳性和住院患者检测确认的COVID-19相关死亡率)。使用Logistic回归模型,并对大流行时的年龄、性别、种族、基线评估中心和既存疾病/状况进行调整。2020年3月16日至4月27日期间,613名参与者在住院治疗中检测呈阳性,其中154人死于COVID-19。PhenoAge与住院患者检测阳性和COVID-19相关死亡率的风险增加相关(OR死亡率= 1.63/5年,95%CI:1.43-1.86,p = 4.7 × 10−13),调整了人口统计学数据,包括大流行时的年龄。进一步调整基线(ORM = 1.50,95% CI:1.30-1.73每5年,p = 3.1 × 10−8)和早期流行(ORM = 1.21,95% CI:1.04-1.40每5年,p = 0.011)时的既存疾病/状况,降低了相关性。2006-2010年测量的PhenoAge与10年后的COVID-19严重程度结果相关。这些关联部分归因于与COVID-19感染相似的流行慢性病。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,衰老生物标志物,如PhenoAge,可能会捕获对COVID-19等疾病的长期脆弱性,甚至在与年龄相关的共病状况积累之前。
Age and disease prevalence are the 2 biggest risk factors for Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) symptom severity and death. We therefore hypothesized that increased biological age, beyond chronological age, may be driving disease-related trends in COVID-19 severity. Using the UK Biobank England data, we tested whether a biological age estimate (PhenoAge) measured more than a decade prior to the COVID-19 pandemic was predictive of 2 COVID-19 severity outcomes (inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality with inpatient test-confirmed COVID-19). Logistic regression models were used with adjustment for age at the pandemic, sex, ethnicity, baseline assessment centers, and preexisting diseases/conditions. Six hundred and thirteen participants tested positive at inpatient settings between March 16 and April 27, 2020, 154 of whom succumbed to COVID-19. PhenoAge was associated with increased risks of inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality (ORMortality = 1.63 per 5 years, 95% CI: 1.43–1.86, p = 4.7 × 10−13) adjusting for demographics including age at the pandemic. Further adjustment for preexisting diseases/conditions at baseline (ORM = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.30–1.73 per 5 years, p = 3.1 × 10−8) and at the early pandemic (ORM = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.04–1.40 per 5 years, p = .011) decreased the association. PhenoAge measured in 2006–2010 was associated with COVID-19 severity outcomes more than 10 years later. These associations were partly accounted for by prevalent chronic diseases proximate to COVID-19 infection. Overall, our results suggest that aging biomarkers, like PhenoAge may capture long-term vulnerability to diseases like COVID-19, even before the accumulation of age-related comorbid conditions.
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