Developing and validating a novel metabolic tumor volume risk stratification system for supplementing non-small cell lung cancer staging.

Developing and validating a novel metabolic tumor volume risk stratification system for supplementing non-small cell lung cancer staging.
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DOI:
10.1007/s00259-018-4059-3
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发表时间:
2018-11
影响因子:
9.1
通讯作者:
Penney BC
Penney BC
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Pu Y;Zhang JX;Liu H;Appelbaum D;Meng J;Penney BC

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We hypothesized that whole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTVwb) could be used to supplement non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) staging due to its independent prognostic value. The goal of this study was to develop and validate a novel MTVwb risk stratification system to supplement NSCLC staging. We performed an IRB-approved retrospective review of 935 patients with NSCLC and FDG avid tumor divided into modeling and validation cohorts based on the PET/CT scanner type used for imaging. In addition, sensitivity analysis was conducted by dividing the patient population into two randomized cohorts. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed to determine the prognostic value of the MTVwb risk stratification system. The cutoff values (10.0, 53.4 and 155.0 mL) between the MTVwb quartiles of the modeling cohort were applied to both modeling and validation cohorts to determine each patient’s MTVwb risk stratum. The survival analyses showed that a lower MTVwb risk stratum was associated with better overall survival (all p<0.01), independent of the TNM stage together with other clinical prognostic factors, and the discriminatory power of the MTVwb risk stratification system, as measured by Gonen and Heller’s concordance index, was not significantly different from that of TNM stage in both cohorts. Also, the prognostic value of the MTVwb risk stratum was robust in the two randomized cohorts. The discordance rate between the MTVwb risk stratum and TNM stage or substage was 45.1% in the modeling and 50.3% in the validation cohorts. This study developed and validated a novel MTVwb risk stratification system, which has prognostic value independent of the TNM stage and other clinical prognostic factors in NSCLC, suggesting it can be used for further NSCLC pretreatment assessment and for refining patient’s treatment decisions.
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