Falling living standards during the COVID-19 crisis: Quantitative evidence from nine developing countries.

Falling living standards during the COVID-19 crisis: Quantitative evidence from nine developing countries.
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DOI:
10.1126/sciadv.abe0997
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发表时间:
2021-03
期刊:
影响因子:
13.6
通讯作者:
Vernot C
Vernot C
中科院分区:
综合性期刊1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Egger D;Miguel E;Warren SS;Shenoy A;Collins E;Karlan D;Parkerson D;Mobarak AM;Fink G;Udry C;Walker M;Haushofer J;Larreboure M;Athey S;Lopez-Pena P;Benhachmi S;Humphreys M;Lowe L;Meriggi NF;Wabwire A;Davis CA;Pape UJ;Graff T;Voors M;Nekesa C;Vernot C

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在新冠疫情危机期间,低收入和中等收入国家的收入、就业和粮食安全大幅下降。尽管有许多新闻报道,但对于大多数低收入和中等收入国家来说,关于2019冠状病毒病大流行期间经济状况的系统性定量证据仍然很少,部分原因是在非正规部门和自给农业规模庞大的环境中,官方经济统计数据存在局限性。我们收集了来自非洲(布基纳法索,加纳,肯尼亚,卢旺达,塞拉利昂),亚洲(孟加拉国,尼泊尔,菲律宾)和拉丁美洲(哥伦比亚)9个国家的16个原始家庭调查中超过30,000名受访者的证据。我们记录了从2020年3月开始的所有环境中就业和收入的下降。经历收入下降的家庭比例从8%到87%不等(中位数为68%)。家庭应对战略和政府援助不足以维持危机前的生活水平,导致普遍的粮食不安全和严峻的经济状况,甚至在危机发生3个月后也是如此。我们讨论了有希望的政策反应,并推测持续的不利影响的风险,特别是在儿童和其他弱势群体。
Income, employment, and food security fell sharply across low- and middle-income countries during the COVID crisis. Despite numerous journalistic accounts, systematic quantitative evidence on economic conditions during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic remains scarce for most low- and middle-income countries, partly due to limitations of official economic statistics in environments with large informal sectors and subsistence agriculture. We assemble evidence from over 30,000 respondents in 16 original household surveys from nine countries in Africa (Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, Sierra Leone), Asia (Bangladesh, Nepal, Philippines), and Latin America (Colombia). We document declines in employment and income in all settings beginning March 2020. The share of households experiencing an income drop ranges from 8 to 87% (median, 68%). Household coping strategies and government assistance were insufficient to sustain precrisis living standards, resulting in widespread food insecurity and dire economic conditions even 3 months into the crisis. We discuss promising policy responses and speculate about the risk of persistent adverse effects, especially among children and other vulnerable groups.
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