Historical incidence of mid‐autumn wind storms in New England
Historical incidence of mid‐autumn wind storms in New England
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新英格兰中秋风暴的历史发生率
DOI：
10.1002/met.1952
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发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
2.7
通讯作者：
Carleton, Andrew M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Simonson, Julia M.;Birkel, Sean D.;Maasch, Kirk A.;Mayewski, Paul A.;Lyon, Bradfield;Carleton, Andrew M.
近年来，新英格兰出现了许多中秋（11月至11月）风暴-与热带气旋相关的强风事件-造成了广泛的基础设施损坏，引起了人们对这些事件在气候变化中可能变得更加常见的担忧。在每年这个时候发展的风暴是独一无二的，因为它们可以具有主导的冷季特征，同时也受到暖季水分来源（如热带气旋的残余）的推动，或者是热带气旋外过渡的结果。为了深入了解这类风暴的行为，我们利用1979年以来的再分析和基于台站的气象观测来探索最近的风暴频率和强度。考虑的变量包括10米风速、海平面气压和降水量。结果显示，中秋风暴的总体频率没有统计学显著增加，其强度也没有与中心气压或地面风速有关。然而，有一个统计上显著的趋势，即伴随着最大10米阵风大于26 m s−1（58 mph）的风暴的降水量增加。虽然较强的大风事件往往与较低的中心海平面气压值和显著的强化率有关，但其他因素，如风暴路径和新英格兰地区的气压梯度也会影响风暴的发展和整体影响。这项研究强调了各种因素，例如背景气候条件，这些因素可能会增加变暖世界中风损害的风险。
New England has seen a number of mid‐autumn (October–November) wind storms—high‐wind events associated with extratropical cyclones—in recent years that have produced extensive infrastructure damage, raising concerns that these events may become more common in a changing climate. Storms developing at this time of year are unique in that they can have dominant cold‐season characteristics while also being fueled by warm‐season moisture sources (such as the remnants of tropical cyclones) or the result of an extratropical transition. To provide insights on the behavior of such storms, we explore recent storm frequency and intensity by using reanalysis and station‐based meteorological observations onward from 1979. Variables taken into consideration include 10 m wind speed, sea‐level pressure and precipitation. The results do not show a statistically significant increase in the overall frequency of mid‐autumn wind storms nor of their intensity with respect to central pressure or surface wind speeds. However, there is a statistically significant trend toward increasing precipitation accompanying wind storms with maximum 10 m wind gusts greater than 26 m⋅s−1(58 mph). While stronger high‐wind events tend to be associated with lower central sea‐level pressure values and substantial intensification rates, other factors such as storm tracks and the pressure gradient across the New England region also affect the development and overall impact of storms. This study highlights the variety of elements, such as the background climate conditions, which could potentially increase the risk of wind damage in a warming world.
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影响因子：
6.6
作者：
Gengfeng Li;Peng Zhang;P. Luh;Wenyuan Li;Z. Bie;Camilo Serna;Zhibing Zhao
通讯作者：
Gengfeng Li;Peng Zhang;P. Luh;Wenyuan Li;Z. Bie;Camilo Serna;Zhibing Zhao
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2000
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
T. Niziol;T. Paone
通讯作者：
T. Paone
影响因子：
8
作者：
U. Neu;M. G. Akperov;Nina Bellenbaum;R. Benestad;R. Blender;R. Caballero;A. Cocozza;H. Dacre;Yang Feng;K. Fraedrich;J. Grieger;S. Gulev;J. Hanley;T. Hewson;M. Inatsu;K. Keay;S. Kew;I. Kindem;G. Leckebusch;M. Liberato;P. Lionello;I. Mokhov;J. Pinto;C. Raible;M. Reale;I. Rudeva;M. Schuster;I. Simmonds;M. Sinclair;M. Sprenger;N. Tilinina;I. Trigo;S. Ulbrich;U. Ulbrich;Xiaolan L. Wang;H. Wernli
通讯作者：
U. Neu;M. G. Akperov;Nina Bellenbaum;R. Benestad;R. Blender;R. Caballero;A. Cocozza;H. Dacre;Yang Feng;K. Fraedrich;J. Grieger;S. Gulev;J. Hanley;T. Hewson;M. Inatsu;K. Keay;S. Kew;I. Kindem;G. Leckebusch;M. Liberato;P. Lionello;I. Mokhov;J. Pinto;C. Raible;M. Reale;I. Rudeva;M. Schuster;I. Simmonds;M. Sinclair;M. Sprenger;N. Tilinina;I. Trigo;S. Ulbrich;U. Ulbrich;Xiaolan L. Wang;H. Wernli
关于热带气旋频率和暖池区域
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
R. Benestad
通讯作者：
R. Benestad
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2007
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
Matthew C. Lacke;J. Knox;J. Frye;A. Stewart;J. Durkee;C. Fuhrmann;S. Dillingham
通讯作者：
S. Dillingham